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CRTLAB/News days/PCE/2025-08-29

PCE — Friday, 29 August 2025

PCE: Silver moved $0.34 in the first hour — 46% of a normal day. Released 08:30 New York. Core PCE Price Index MoM came in at 0.3 (forecast 0.3, previous 0.3).

Market5 min15 min1 hourFirst-hour rangeSweptTo the close
Silver+0.24%+0.44%+0.49%$0.34 · 46%–+3.48%
Bitcoin+0.26%+0.28%+0.15%$1,176.55 · 36%–-2.33%
Gold+0.17%+0.15%+0.25%$13 · 30%the Asian high+1.41%
Ethereum+0.54%+0.61%+0.55%$82.08 · 30%–-1.08%
USDJPY-0.05%+0.06%-0.01%28.1 pips · 23%–-0.15%
GBPUSD+0.04%-0.01%+0.03%17 pips · 21%–+0.36%
EURUSD+0.04%-0.02%+0.04%16.5 pips · 20%–+0.24%
AUDUSD+0.02%-0.01%+0.02%8 pips · 18%–+0.21%
Oil+0.11%+0.12%+0.09%$0.27 · 17%–-0.56%
NAS100+0.13%+0.11%+0.10%55.5 pts · 17%–-0.74%
S&P 500+0.09%+0.08%+0.07%11.5 pts · 17%–-0.31%
US30+0.06%+0.05%+0.10%75 pts · 16%–+0.15%

Changes from the price at the release minute. First-hour range as a share of the market's average full day (20 days). CME futures via Databento; CFD prices differ slightly, the shape is the same.

Silver +0.49% in 1h

Silver moved $0.34 in the first hour after PCE (46% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.49% after an hour. From the release to the close: +3.48%.

Silver day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

Bitcoin +0.15% in 1h

Bitcoin moved $1,176.55 in the first hour after PCE (36% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.15% after an hour. From the release to the close: -2.33%.

Bitcoin day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

Gold +0.25% in 1h

Gold moved $13 in the first hour after PCE (30% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.25% after an hour. It took the Asian high. From the release to the close: +1.41%.

Gold day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

Ethereum +0.55% in 1h

Ethereum moved $82.08 in the first hour after PCE (30% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.55% after an hour. From the release to the close: -1.08%.

Ethereum day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

USDJPY -0.01% in 1h

USDJPY moved 28.1 pips in the first hour after PCE (23% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -0.01% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.15%.

USDJPY day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

GBPUSD +0.03% in 1h

GBPUSD moved 17 pips in the first hour after PCE (21% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.03% after an hour. From the release to the close: +0.36%.

GBPUSD day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

EURUSD +0.04% in 1h

EURUSD moved 16.5 pips in the first hour after PCE (20% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.04% after an hour. From the release to the close: +0.24%.

EURUSD day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

AUDUSD +0.02% in 1h

AUDUSD moved 8 pips in the first hour after PCE (18% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.02% after an hour. From the release to the close: +0.21%.

AUDUSD day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

Oil +0.09% in 1h

Oil moved $0.27 in the first hour after PCE (17% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.09% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.56%.

Oil day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

NAS100 +0.10% in 1h

NAS100 moved 55.5 pts in the first hour after PCE (17% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.10% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.74%.

NAS100 day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

S&P 500 +0.07% in 1h

S&P 500 moved 11.5 pts in the first hour after PCE (17% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.07% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.31%.

S&P 500 day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

US30 +0.10% in 1h

US30 moved 75 pts in the first hour after PCE (16% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.10% after an hour. From the release to the close: +0.15%.

US30 day by day · Replay it on CRTLAB

Lines: 1-minute closes from 30 minutes before the release (dashed) to 90 minutes after, New York time.

Frequently asked questions

How did Gold react to PCE on 29 Aug 2025?

Gold moved $13 in the first hour after PCE (30% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.25% after an hour. It took the Asian high. From the release to the close: +1.41%.

How did EURUSD react to PCE on 29 Aug 2025?

EURUSD moved 16.5 pips in the first hour after PCE (20% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.04% after an hour. From the release to the close: +0.24%.

How did NAS100 react to PCE on 29 Aug 2025?

NAS100 moved 55.5 pts in the first hour after PCE (17% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.10% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.74%.

How did US30 react to PCE on 29 Aug 2025?

US30 moved 75 pts in the first hour after PCE (16% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.10% after an hour. From the release to the close: +0.15%.

Which market moved most on PCE?

Silver: $0.34 in the first hour, 46% of its normal day.

← GDP 2025-08-28Full recap of 2025-08-29NFP 2025-09-05 →

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