EURUSD -0.25% in 1h
EURUSD moved 37.5 pips in the first hour after PCE (42% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -0.25% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.18%.
PCE — Thursday, 31 July 2025
PCE: EURUSD moved 37.5 pips in the first hour — 42% of a normal day. Released 08:30 New York. Core PCE Price Index MoM came in at 0.3 (forecast 0.3, previous 0.2).
| Market | 5 min | 15 min | 1 hour | First-hour range | Swept | To the close |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| EURUSD | -0.03% | -0.05% | -0.25% | 37.5 pips · 42% | – | -0.18% |
| GBPUSD | -0.08% | -0.10% | -0.26% | 35.5 pips · 41% | – | -0.18% |
| Silver | +0.20% | +0.08% | +0.07% | $0.27 · 31% | – | +0.31% |
| NAS100 | -0.03% | -0.03% | -0.21% | 70 pts · 31% | – | -1.97% |
| USDJPY | +0.09% | +0.15% | +0.25% | 40.2 pips · 31% | – | +0.54% |
| Ethereum | -0.38% | -0.42% | -1.07% | $50.15 · 29% | – | -2.80% |
| Oil | +0.03% | -0.04% | -0.36% | $0.47 · 27% | – | -0.42% |
| S&P 500 | +0.00% | +0.01% | -0.11% | 12.5 pts · 25% | – | -1.32% |
| US30 | -0.04% | -0.04% | -0.14% | 100 pts · 24% | – | -1.05% |
| AUDUSD | -0.04% | -0.06% | -0.15% | 13.5 pips · 24% | – | -0.26% |
| Bitcoin | -0.10% | -0.13% | -0.33% | $536.82 · 19% | – | -1.71% |
| Gold | +0.07% | +0.05% | +0.04% | $7.5 · 16% | – | -0.52% |
Changes from the price at the release minute. First-hour range as a share of the market's average full day (20 days). CME futures via Databento; CFD prices differ slightly, the shape is the same.
GBPUSD -0.26% in 1h
GBPUSD moved 35.5 pips in the first hour after PCE (41% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -0.26% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.18%.
Silver +0.07% in 1h
Silver moved $0.27 in the first hour after PCE (31% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.07% after an hour. From the release to the close: +0.31%.
NAS100 -0.21% in 1h
NAS100 moved 70 pts in the first hour after PCE (31% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -0.21% after an hour. From the release to the close: -1.97%.
USDJPY +0.25% in 1h
USDJPY moved 40.2 pips in the first hour after PCE (31% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.25% after an hour. From the release to the close: +0.54%.
Ethereum -1.07% in 1h
Ethereum moved $50.15 in the first hour after PCE (29% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -1.07% after an hour. From the release to the close: -2.80%.
Oil -0.36% in 1h
Oil moved $0.47 in the first hour after PCE (27% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, then it reversed — -0.36% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.42%.
S&P 500 -0.11% in 1h
S&P 500 moved 12.5 pts in the first hour after PCE (25% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, then it reversed — -0.11% after an hour. From the release to the close: -1.32%.
US30 -0.14% in 1h
US30 moved 100 pts in the first hour after PCE (24% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -0.14% after an hour. From the release to the close: -1.05%.
AUDUSD -0.15% in 1h
AUDUSD moved 13.5 pips in the first hour after PCE (24% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -0.15% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.26%.
Bitcoin -0.33% in 1h
Bitcoin moved $536.82 in the first hour after PCE (19% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -0.33% after an hour. From the release to the close: -1.71%.
Gold +0.04% in 1h
Gold moved $7.5 in the first hour after PCE (16% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.04% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.52%.
Lines: 1-minute closes from 30 minutes before the release (dashed) to 90 minutes after, New York time.
Frequently asked questions
How did EURUSD react to PCE on 31 Jul 2025?
EURUSD moved 37.5 pips in the first hour after PCE (42% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -0.25% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.18%.
How did NAS100 react to PCE on 31 Jul 2025?
NAS100 moved 70 pts in the first hour after PCE (31% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -0.21% after an hour. From the release to the close: -1.97%.
How did US30 react to PCE on 31 Jul 2025?
US30 moved 100 pts in the first hour after PCE (24% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went down, and it was -0.14% after an hour. From the release to the close: -1.05%.
How did Gold react to PCE on 31 Jul 2025?
Gold moved $7.5 in the first hour after PCE (16% of a normal day). The first 5 minutes went up, and it was +0.04% after an hour. From the release to the close: -0.52%.
Which market moved most on PCE?
EURUSD: 37.5 pips in the first hour, 42% of its normal day.
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