Every release since 27 Jan 2016: 88 on record, actual against forecast. High impact for the USD. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last US Interest Rate (Oct. 29, 2026, released 28 Oct 2026) came in at 4%; the previous reading was 4%.
Since 2016, US Interest Rate has come in above forecast 0% of the time and below 0% (9 releases with a forecast); over the last 9 it beat 0%.
The average miss against forecast over the last 9 releases was 0%: higher than expected is good for the USD.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 14:00 | Oct. 29, 2026 | 4% | – | 4% | – |
| 16 Sept 2026 14:00 | Sep. 17, 2026 | 4% | – | 3.75% | – |
| 29 Jul 2026 14:00 | Jul. 30, 2026 | 3.75% | – | 3.75% | – |
| 17 Jun 2026 14:00 | Jun. 18, 2026 | 3.75% | – | 3.75% | – |
| 29 Apr 2026 14:00 | Apr. 30, 2026 | 3.75% | – | 3.75% | – |
| 18 Mar 2026 14:00 | Mar. 19, 2026 | 3.75% | – | 3.75% | – |
| 28 Jan 2026 14:00 | Jan. 29, 2026 | 3.75% | – | 3.75% | – |
| 10 Dec 2025 14:00 | Dec. 11, 2025 | 3.75% | – | 4% | – |
| 29 Oct 2025 14:00 | Oct. 30, 2025 | 4% | – | 4.25% | – |
| 17 Sept 2025 14:00 | Sep. 18, 2025 | 4.25% | – | 4.5% | – |
| 30 Jul 2025 14:00 | Jul. 31, 2025 | 4.5% | – | 4.5% | – |
| 18 Jun 2025 14:00 | Jun. 20, 2025 | 4.5% | – | 4.5% | – |
| 7 May 2025 14:00 | May. 8, 2025 | 4.5% | – | 4.5% | – |
| 19 Mar 2025 14:00 | Mar. 20, 2025 | 4.5% | – | 4.5% | – |
| 29 Jan 2025 14:00 | Jan. 30, 2025 | 4.5% | – | 4.5% | – |
| 18 Dec 2024 14:00 | Dec. 19, 2024 | 4.5% | – | 4.75% | – |
| 7 Nov 2024 14:00 | Nov. 8, 2024 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 5% | in line |
| 18 Sept 2024 14:00 | Sep. 19, 2024 | 5% | – | 5.5% | – |
| 31 Jul 2024 14:00 | Aug. 1, 2024 | 5.5% | – | 5.5% | – |
| 12 Jun 2024 14:00 | Jun. 13, 2024 | 5.5% | – | 5.5% | – |
| 1 May 2024 14:00 | May. 2, 2024 | 5.5% | – | 5.5% | – |
| 20 Mar 2024 14:00 | Mar. 21, 2024 | 5.5% | – | 5.5% | – |
| 31 Jan 2024 14:00 | Feb. 1, 2024 | 5.5% | – | 5.5% | – |
| 13 Dec 2023 14:00 | Dec. 14, 2023 | 5.5% | – | 5.5% | – |
| 1 Nov 2023 14:00 | Nov. 2, 2023 | 5.5% | – | 5.5% | – |
| 20 Sept 2023 14:00 | Sep. 21, 2023 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | in line |
| 26 Jul 2023 14:00 | Jul. 27, 2023 | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.25% | in line |
| 14 Jun 2023 14:00 | Jun. 15, 2023 | 5.25% | 5.25% | 5.25% | in line |
| 3 May 2023 14:00 | May. 4, 2023 | 5.25% | 5.25% | 5% | in line |
| 22 Mar 2023 14:00 | Mar. 23, 2023 | 5% | 5% | 4.75% | in line |
| 1 Feb 2023 14:00 | Feb. 2, 2023 | 4.75% | 4.75% | 4.5% | in line |
| 14 Dec 2022 14:00 | Dec. 15, 2022 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4% | in line |
| 2 Nov 2022 14:00 | Nov. 3, 2022 | 4% | – | 3.25% | – |
| 21 Sept 2022 14:00 | Sep. 22, 2022 | 3.25% | – | 2.5% | – |
| 27 Jul 2022 14:00 | Jul. 28, 2022 | 2.5% | – | 1.75% | – |
| 15 Jun 2022 14:00 | Jun. 16, 2022 | 1.75% | – | 1% | – |
| 4 May 2022 14:00 | May. 5, 2022 | 1% | – | 0.5% | – |
| 16 Mar 2022 14:00 | Mar. 17, 2022 | 0.5% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 26 Jan 2022 14:00 | Jan. 27, 2022 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 15 Dec 2021 14:00 | Dec. 16, 2021 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 3 Nov 2021 14:00 | Nov. 4, 2021 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 22 Sept 2021 14:00 | Sep. 23, 2021 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 28 Jul 2021 14:00 | Jul. 29, 2021 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 16 Jun 2021 14:00 | Jun. 17, 2021 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 28 Apr 2021 14:00 | Apr. 29, 2021 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 17 Mar 2021 14:00 | Mar. 18, 2021 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 27 Jan 2021 14:00 | Jan. 28, 2021 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 16 Dec 2020 14:00 | Dec. 17, 2020 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 5 Nov 2020 14:00 | Nov. 6, 2020 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 16 Sept 2020 14:00 | Sep. 17, 2020 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 29 Jul 2020 14:00 | Jul. 30, 2020 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 10 Jun 2020 14:00 | Jun. 11, 2020 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 29 Apr 2020 14:00 | Apr. 30, 2020 | 0.25% | – | 0.25% | – |
| 15 Mar 2020 17:00 | Mar. 16, 2020 | 0.25% | – | 1.25% | – |
| 3 Mar 2020 10:00 | Mar. 4, 2020 | 1.25% | – | 1.75% | – |
| 29 Jan 2020 14:00 | Jan. 30, 2020 | 1.75% | – | 1.75% | – |
| 11 Dec 2019 14:00 | Dec. 12, 2019 | 1.75% | – | 1.75% | – |
| 30 Oct 2019 14:00 | Oct. 31, 2019 | 1.75% | – | 2% | – |
| 18 Sept 2019 14:00 | Sep. 19, 2019 | 2% | – | 2.25% | – |
| 31 Jul 2019 14:00 | Aug. 1, 2019 | 2.25% | – | 2.5% | – |
| 19 Jun 2019 14:00 | Jun. 20, 2019 | 2.5% | – | 2.5% | – |
| 1 May 2019 14:00 | May. 2, 2019 | 2.5% | – | 2.5% | – |
| 20 Mar 2019 14:00 | Mar. 21, 2019 | 2.5% | – | 2.5% | – |
| 30 Jan 2019 14:00 | Jan. 31, 2019 | 2.5% | – | 2.5% | – |
| 19 Dec 2018 14:00 | Dec. 20, 2018 | 2.5% | – | 2.25% | – |
| 8 Nov 2018 14:00 | Nov. 9, 2018 | 2.25% | – | 2.25% | – |
| 26 Sept 2018 14:00 | Sep. 27, 2018 | 2.25% | – | 2% | – |
| 1 Aug 2018 14:00 | Aug. 2, 2018 | 2% | – | 2% | – |
| 13 Jun 2018 14:00 | Jun. 14, 2018 | 2% | – | 1.75% | – |
| 2 May 2018 14:00 | May. 3, 2018 | 1.75% | – | 1.75% | – |
| 21 Mar 2018 14:00 | Mar. 22, 2018 | 1.75% | – | 1.5% | – |
| 31 Jan 2018 14:00 | Feb. 1, 2018 | 1.5% | – | 1.5% | – |
| 13 Dec 2017 14:00 | Dec. 14, 2017 | 1.5% | – | 1.25% | – |
| 1 Nov 2017 14:00 | Nov. 2, 2017 | 1.25% | – | 1.25% | – |
| 20 Sept 2017 14:00 | Sep. 21, 2017 | 1.25% | – | 1.25% | – |
| 26 Jul 2017 14:00 | Jul. 27, 2017 | 1.25% | – | 1.25% | – |
| 14 Jun 2017 14:00 | Jun. 15, 2017 | 1.25% | – | 1% | – |
| 3 May 2017 14:00 | May. 4, 2017 | 1% | – | 1% | – |
| 15 Mar 2017 14:00 | Mar. 16, 2017 | 1% | – | 0.75% | – |
| 1 Feb 2017 13:00 | Feb. 1, 2017 | 0.75% | 0.75% | 0.75% | in line |
| 14 Dec 2016 07:00 | Dec. 15, 2016 | 0.75% | – | 0.5% | – |
| 2 Nov 2016 14:00 | Nov. 3, 2016 | 0.5% | – | 0.5% | – |
| 21 Sept 2016 14:00 | Sep. 22, 2016 | 0.5% | – | 0.5% | – |
| 27 Jul 2016 14:00 | Jul. 28, 2016 | 0.5% | – | 0.5% | – |
| 15 Jun 2016 14:00 | Jun. 16, 2016 | 0.5% | – | 0.5% | – |
| 27 Apr 2016 14:00 | Apr. 28, 2016 | 0.5% | – | 0.5% | – |
| 16 Mar 2016 14:00 | Mar. 17, 2016 | 0.5% | – | 0.5% | – |
| 27 Jan 2016 14:00 | Jan. 28, 2016 | 0.5% | – | 0.5% | – |
The last US Interest Rate (Oct. 29, 2026, released 28 Oct 2026) came in at 4%; the previous reading was 4%.
US Interest Rate is released monthly by Federal Reserve. CRTLAB has 88 releases on record since 27 Jan 2016.
Since 2016, US Interest Rate has come in above forecast 0% of the time and below 0% (9 releases with a forecast); over the last 9 it beat 0%.
The highest was 5.5% (Aug. 1, 2024) and the lowest 0.25% (Jan. 27, 2022). The five-year average is 4.08%.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the USD, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the USD against its forecast, red one that was bad.
CRTLAB measures every FOMC release on 1-minute data: the first 5, 15 and 60 minutes of gold, NAS100, the indices, forex and crypto. Every release day is broken down at https://crtlab.pro/news/fomc.
In the United States, the authority to set interest rates is divided between the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve (Board) and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). The Board decides on changes in discount rates after recommendations submitted by one or more of the regional Federal Reserve Banks.