CRTLAB Answers · measured, not opinion

How often is the previous week's high or low taken?

Name: How Often Is the Previous Week High or Low Taken? 4,005 Weeks
Creator: CRTLAB
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

Answered with real trades on 13 markets of CRTLAB's own price history, 2017–2026. The rules were fixed before any result was seen, and every one of them is on this page.

The answer

87.6% of weeks took last week's high or low, across 4,005 weeks since 2017: the high 52.5%, the low 44.8%, both 9.8%. When it was taken, it was most often on Monday — 51.7% of the weeks that took the high.

Weeks measured4,005

High or low taken87.6%

Both taken9.8%

Neither12.4%

Measured 2 November 2026 · data to 19 October 2026Replay a week against last week's levels

The short answer

The week opened inside last week's range 93.8% of the time.

Which day it was taken

Of the weeks that took last week's high (or low), the day it first happened.

Day	Previous week high	Previous week low
Monday	51.7%	47.4%
Tuesday	17.7%	20.2%
Wednesday	14.1%	13.5%
Thursday	9.0%	11.0%
Friday	7.4%	7.9%

Every market

Market	Weeks	High taken	Low taken	Either	Both
Nasdaq 100	331	61.6%	40.2%	91.8%	10.0%
S&P 500	331	61.6%	40.5%	91.5%	10.6%
Dow Jones (US30)	331	57.4%	42.6%	88.2%	11.8%
DAX (GER40)	70	48.6%	52.9%	88.6%	12.9%
Gold (XAU/USD)	310	51.0%	41.3%	84.5%	7.7%
Silver (XAG/USD)	312	50.0%	43.3%	86.5%	6.7%
Crude oil (WTI)	334	52.4%	47.6%	89.5%	10.5%
EUR/USD	386	47.4%	50.5%	89.1%	8.8%
GBP/USD	386	43.8%	52.1%	87.0%	8.8%
USD/JPY	386	57.8%	40.2%	87.3%	10.6%
AUD/USD	387	46.5%	49.4%	85.3%	10.6%
Bitcoin	221	53.4%	41.6%	86.4%	8.6%
Ethereum	220	50.0%	42.3%	80.5%	11.8%

Test it yourself

NAS100 on the 1-hour chart with last week's high and low drawn. Replay from Monday and call which side goes first. The chart opens in your browser with nothing to install — 10,000 candles free, no card. Replay a week against last week's levels.

How we measured it

CRTLAB's own 5-minute price history, 3 January 2017 to 19 October 2026, on 13 markets: Nasdaq 100, S&P 500, Dow Jones (US30), DAX (GER40), Gold (XAU/USD), Silver (XAG/USD), Crude oil (WTI), EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY, AUD/USD, Bitcoin, Ethereum (DAX (GER40) from 2025, Bitcoin from 2022, Ethereum from 2022). A trading day runs 18:00 to 17:00 New York and carries the date it ends on; Monday to Friday only, and a day counts only if it is complete (half-holidays are left out).

Full five-day weeks that follow a full week. Taken = this week trades beyond last week's high (or low) at any time from Sunday 18:00 to Friday 17:00 New York. The day is the trading day it first happened.

Every rule was fixed before any result was seen.

Frequently asked questions

How often is the previous week's high or low taken?

Is the previous week's high taken more than the low?

The high was taken in 52.5% of weeks and the low in 44.8%.

→RelatedAll answers

Does the ICT Silver Bullet work?No edge on its own. Across 46,392 Silver Bullet trades on 13 markets since 2017, the setup averaged +0.02R a trade in the AM window — breakeven before spread and commission.What time is the high or low of the day made?Between 08:00 and 12:00 New York. Those four hours printed the day's high or low 27.8% of the time across 27,187 trading days — about 2.2× what the same hours would get if the day's moves came in a random order (12.5%).Is the ICT Judas swing real?Not on average. The first move after midnight New York pointed the OPPOSITE way to the day's move on only 43.0% of 26,125 days — it continued more often than it reversed, in every one of 13 markets. After a large early move, the day went the same way 74.0% of the time.Does the opening range breakout work?Slightly, before costs. Trading the first break of the 09:30–09:45 New York range — stop at the other side, held to 16:00 — averaged +0.09R ± 0.01 a trade over 26,894 trades, and was positive on 13 of 13 markets. The win rate is low; the edge comes from the days that run.How often do gaps fill on the Nasdaq, S&P 500 and Dow?58.4% of opening gaps on the Nasdaq 100, S&P 500 and Dow filled the same day, across 6,984 gaps since 2017 — 82.0% of small ones (under 0.25%) but only 22.8% of gaps over 1%. A level the same distance on the other side was reached 55.5% of the time, so gaps fill a little more than chance, not much.Which day of the week makes the weekly high or low?Monday and Friday — 55.6% of weekly highs and 58.3% of weekly lows across 4,767 weeks. But the same weeks with their days shuffled into a random order give 58.5% and 57.7%: the Monday/Friday pattern is the arithmetic of the week's two ends, not market behaviour.Does price return to the midnight open?About as often as it reaches any level the same distance away. From 08:30 New York, price came back to the midnight open on 58.2% of 25,401 days by 16:00 — and reached a mirror level, the same distance on the other side, on 58.3%. The midnight open is not a magnet; it is reached because it is close.Do ICT macros work?No more than the time around them. Across 214,928 macro windows on 13 markets since 2017, a macro moved 0.98× as much as the same-length windows just before and after it, and out-moved both neighbours about a third of the time — what chance gives.Does yesterday's daily candle predict today's?Barely. After an up day, the next day closed up 50.5% of the time; after a down day, 53.8% — against 52.1% for every day, across 26,801 days on 13 markets. If anything, a down day is followed by a slightly better chance of an up day, not a down one.Does London sweep the Asian range and reverse?Usually not. After London (02:00–05:00 New York) took one side of the Asian range, price went on to the other side first on 41.1% of 9,037 days, and ran a full Asian range further the same way first on 44.7%. Both levels are the same distance away, so a reversal pattern would show the first number well ahead; it is behind, on 11 of 13 markets.What time does gold make its high or low of the day?Most often between 08:00 and 12:00 New York. Those four hours printed gold's high or low of the day 31.3% of the time across 2,429 trading days since 2017, 2.5× what the same hours get when each day's hours are shuffled into a random order (12.6%). The strongest single hour was 09:00–10:00.Does the 8:30 news candle show the direction of the day?It is big, but it does not tell you the day's direction. The 08:30 New York candle averaged 1.8× the range of the candles around it (3.7× on jobs-report Fridays), yet the 08:30–09:00 move pointed the same way as the rest of the US day on only 49.4% of 26,239 days, against 49.9% for the same test an hour earlier. A coin gives 50%.Does the London open set the direction for the day?No. The first hour of London (02:00–03:00 New York) pointed the same way as the rest of the London and New York morning on 50.1% of 26,246 days — a coin flip, and the same as the hour before London opens (50.1%). Following it averaged 0.00R ± 0.01 a trade.Does the opening range breakout work on gold?On gold, slightly, before costs. Trading the first break of the 09:30–09:45 New York range — stop at the other side, held to 16:00 — averaged +0.12R ± 0.04 a trade over 2,394 trades since 2017, number 4 of 13 markets tested. With a 2R target it averaged +0.09R ± 0.03.What time does EUR/USD make its high or low of the day?Most often between 08:00 and 12:00 New York. Those four hours printed EUR/USD's high or low of the day 29.5% of the time across 2,478 trading days since 2017, 2.4× what the same hours get when each day's hours are shuffled into a random order (12.5%). The strongest single hour was 10:00–11:00.Previous day high & low statisticsFree tool CRT statisticsFree tool

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