Every release since 21 Jan 2016: 87 on record, actual against forecast. High impact for the EUR. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision (Oct. 2026, released 29 Oct 2026) came in at 2.65%, in line with the 2.65% forecast; the previous reading was 2.65%.
Since 2016, Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision has come in above forecast 2% of the time and below 1% (87 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 0%.
The average miss against forecast over the last 24 releases was 0%: higher than expected is good for the EUR.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2026 09:15 | Oct. 2026 | 2.65% | 2.65% | 2.65% | in line |
| 10 Sept 2026 08:15 | Sep. 2026 | 2.65% | 2.65% | 2.4% | in line |
| 23 Jul 2026 08:15 | Jul. 2026 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.4% | in line |
| 11 Jun 2026 08:15 | Jun. 2026 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.15% | in line |
| 30 Apr 2026 08:15 | Apr. 2026 | 2.15% | 2.15% | 2.15% | in line |
| 19 Mar 2026 09:15 | Mar. 2026 | 2.15% | 2.15% | 2.15% | in line |
| 5 Feb 2026 08:15 | Feb. 2026 | 2.15% | 2.15% | 2.15% | in line |
| 18 Dec 2025 08:15 | Dec. 2025 | 2.15% | 2.15% | 2.15% | in line |
| 30 Oct 2025 09:15 | Oct. 2025 | 2.15% | 2.15% | 2.15% | in line |
| 11 Sept 2025 08:15 | Sep. 2025 | 2.15% | 2.15% | 2.15% | in line |
| 24 Jul 2025 08:15 | Jul. 2025 | 2.15% | 2.15% | 2.15% | in line |
| 5 Jun 2025 08:15 | Jun. 2025 | 2.15% | 2.15% | 2.4% | in line |
| 17 Apr 2025 08:15 | Apr. 2025 | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.65% | in line |
| 6 Mar 2025 08:15 | Mar. 2025 | 2.65% | 2.65% | 2.9% | in line |
| 30 Jan 2025 08:15 | Jan. 2025 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.15% | in line |
| 12 Dec 2024 08:15 | Dec. 2024 | 3.15% | 3.15% | 3.4% | in line |
| 17 Oct 2024 08:15 | Oct. 2024 | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.65% | in line |
| 12 Sept 2024 08:15 | Sep. 2024 | 3.65% | 3.65% | 4.25% | in line |
| 18 Jul 2024 08:15 | Jul. 2024 | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.25% | in line |
| 6 Jun 2024 08:15 | Jun. 2024 | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4.5% | in line |
| 11 Apr 2024 08:15 | Apr. 2024 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | in line |
| 7 Mar 2024 08:15 | Mar. 2024 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | in line |
| 25 Jan 2024 08:15 | Jan. 2024 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | in line |
| 14 Dec 2023 08:15 | Dec. 2023 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | in line |
| 26 Oct 2023 08:15 | Oct. 2023 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | in line |
| 14 Sept 2023 08:15 | Sep. 2023 | 4.5% | 4.25% | 4.25% | above |
| 27 Jul 2023 08:15 | Jul. 2023 | 4.25% | 4.25% | 4% | in line |
| 15 Jun 2023 08:15 | Jun. 2023 | 4% | 4% | 3.75% | in line |
| 4 May 2023 08:15 | May. 2023 | 3.75% | 3.75% | 3.5% | in line |
| 16 Mar 2023 09:15 | Mar. 2023 | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3% | in line |
| 2 Feb 2023 08:15 | Feb. 2023 | 3% | 3% | 2.5% | in line |
| 15 Dec 2022 08:15 | Dec. 2022 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2% | in line |
| 27 Oct 2022 08:15 | Oct. 2022 | 2% | 2% | 1.25% | in line |
| 8 Sept 2022 08:15 | Sep. 2022 | 1.25% | 1.25% | 0.5% | in line |
| 21 Jul 2022 08:15 | Jul. 2022 | 0.5% | 0.25% | 0% | above |
| 9 Jun 2022 07:45 | Jun. 2022 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 14 Apr 2022 07:45 | Apr. 2022 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 10 Mar 2022 07:45 | Mar. 2022 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 3 Feb 2022 07:45 | Feb. 2022 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 16 Dec 2021 07:45 | Dec. 2021 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 28 Oct 2021 07:45 | Oct. 2021 | 0% | 0% | – | in line |
| 9 Sept 2021 07:45 | Sep. 2021 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 22 Jul 2021 07:45 | Jul. 2021 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 10 Jun 2021 07:45 | Jun. 2021 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 22 Apr 2021 07:45 | Apr. 2021 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 11 Mar 2021 07:45 | Mar. 2021 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 21 Jan 2021 07:45 | Jan. 2021 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 10 Dec 2020 07:45 | Dec. 2020 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 29 Oct 2020 08:45 | Oct. 2020 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 10 Sept 2020 07:45 | Sep. 2020 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 16 Jul 2020 07:45 | Jul. 2020 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 4 Jun 2020 07:45 | Jun. 2020 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 30 Apr 2020 07:45 | Apr. 2020 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 12 Mar 2020 08:45 | Mar. 2020 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 23 Jan 2020 07:45 | Jan. 2020 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 12 Dec 2019 07:45 | Dec. 2019 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 24 Oct 2019 07:45 | Oct. 2019 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 12 Sept 2019 07:45 | Sep. 2019 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 25 Jul 2019 07:45 | Jul. 2019 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 6 Jun 2019 07:45 | Jun. 2019 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 10 Apr 2019 07:45 | Apr. 2019 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 7 Mar 2019 07:45 | Mar. 2019 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 24 Jan 2019 07:45 | Jan. 2019 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 13 Dec 2018 07:45 | Dec. 2018 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 25 Oct 2018 07:45 | Oct. 2018 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 13 Sept 2018 07:45 | Sep. 2018 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 26 Jul 2018 07:45 | Jul. 2018 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 14 Jun 2018 07:45 | Jun. 2018 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 26 Apr 2018 07:45 | Apr. 2018 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 8 Mar 2018 07:45 | Mar. 2018 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 25 Jan 2018 07:45 | Jan. 2018 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 14 Dec 2017 07:45 | Dec. 2017 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 26 Oct 2017 07:45 | Oct. 2017 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 7 Sept 2017 07:45 | Sep. 2017 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 20 Jul 2017 07:45 | Jul. 2017 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 8 Jun 2017 07:45 | Jun. 2017 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 27 Apr 2017 07:45 | Apr. 2017 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 9 Mar 2017 07:45 | Mar. 2017 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 19 Jan 2017 07:45 | Jan. 2017 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 8 Dec 2016 07:45 | Dec. 2016 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 20 Oct 2016 07:45 | Oct. 2016 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 8 Sept 2016 07:45 | Sep. 2016 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 21 Jul 2016 07:45 | Jul. 2016 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 2 Jun 2016 07:45 | Jun. 2016 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 21 Apr 2016 07:45 | Apr. 2016 | 0% | 0% | 0% | in line |
| 10 Mar 2016 07:45 | Mar. 2016 | 0% | 0.05% | 0.05% | below |
| 21 Jan 2016 07:45 | Jan. 2016 | 0.05% | 0.05% | 0.05% | in line |
The last Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision (Oct. 2026, released 29 Oct 2026) came in at 2.65%, in line with the 2.65% forecast; the previous reading was 2.65%.
Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision is released every 6–8 weeks by European Central Bank. CRTLAB has 87 releases on record since 21 Jan 2016.
Since 2016, Eurozone ECB Interest Rate Decision has come in above forecast 2% of the time and below 1% (87 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 0%.
The highest was 4.5% (Apr. 2024) and the lowest 0% (Jun. 2022). The five-year average is 2.64%.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the EUR, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the EUR against its forecast, red one that was bad.
CRTLAB measures every ECB release on 1-minute data: the first 5, 15 and 60 minutes of gold, NAS100, the indices, forex and crypto. Every release day is broken down at https://crtlab.pro/news/ecb.
In the Euro Area, benchmark interest rate is set by the Governing Council of the European Central Bank. The primary objective of the ECB’s monetary policy is to maintain price stability which is to keep inflation below, but close to 2 percent over the medium term.