Next release Sunday, 15 November 2026, 21:00 New York. Every release since 19 Jan 2016: 118 on record, actual against forecast. High impact for the CNY. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last China Retail Sales YoY (Sep. 2026, released 19 Oct 2026) came in at 1.1%, above the 0.6% forecast; the previous reading was 0.4%. The next China Retail Sales YoY is due Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 21:00 New York time (Oct. 2026), with the forecast at 0.8%.
Since 2016, China Retail Sales YoY has come in above forecast 40% of the time and below 54% (117 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 33%.
The average miss against forecast over the last 24 releases was 0.73%: higher than expected is good for the CNY.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2026 22:00 | Sep. 2026 | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | above |
| 15 Sept 2026 22:00 | Aug. 2026 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | below |
| 17 Aug 2026 03:00 | Jul. 2026 | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1% | below |
| 15 Jul 2026 22:00 | Jun. 2026 | 1% | -0.1% | -0.6% | above |
| 16 Jun 2026 22:00 | May. 2026 | -0.6% | 0% | 0.2% | below |
| 18 May 2026 22:00 | Apr. 2026 | 0.2% | 2% | 1.7% | below |
| 16 Apr 2026 22:00 | Mar. 2026 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.8% | below |
| 16 Mar 2026 22:00 | Feb. 2026 | 2.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | above |
| 19 Jan 2026 21:00 | Dec. 2025 | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | below |
| 15 Dec 2025 21:00 | Nov. 2025 | 1.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | below |
| 14 Nov 2025 21:00 | Oct. 2025 | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3% | above |
| 20 Oct 2025 22:00 | Sep. 2025 | 3% | 3% | 3.4% | in line |
| 15 Sept 2025 22:00 | Aug. 2025 | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | below |
| 15 Aug 2025 22:00 | Jul. 2025 | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | below |
| 15 Jul 2025 22:00 | Jun. 2025 | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.4% | below |
| 16 Jun 2025 22:00 | May. 2025 | 6.4% | 5% | 5.1% | above |
| 19 May 2025 22:00 | Apr. 2025 | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | below |
| 16 Apr 2025 22:00 | Mar. 2025 | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4% | above |
| 17 Mar 2025 22:00 | Feb. 2025 | 4% | 4% | 3.7% | in line |
| 17 Jan 2025 21:00 | Dec. 2024 | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3% | above |
| 16 Dec 2024 21:00 | Nov. 2024 | 3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | below |
| 15 Nov 2024 21:00 | Oct. 2024 | 4.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | above |
| 18 Oct 2024 22:00 | Sep. 2024 | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.1% | above |
| 14 Sept 2024 22:00 | Aug. 2024 | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | below |
| 15 Aug 2024 22:00 | Jul. 2024 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2% | above |
| 15 Jul 2024 22:00 | Jun. 2024 | 2% | 3.3% | 3.7% | below |
| 17 Jun 2024 22:00 | May. 2024 | 3.7% | 3% | 2.3% | above |
| 17 May 2024 22:00 | Apr. 2024 | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | below |
| 16 Apr 2024 22:00 | Mar. 2024 | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | below |
| 18 Mar 2024 22:00 | Feb. 2024 | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.4% | above |
| 17 Jan 2024 21:00 | Dec. 2023 | 7.4% | 8% | 10.1% | below |
| 15 Dec 2023 21:00 | Nov. 2023 | 10.1% | 12.5% | 7.6% | below |
| 15 Nov 2023 21:00 | Oct. 2023 | 7.6% | 7% | 5.5% | above |
| 18 Oct 2023 22:00 | Sep. 2023 | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | above |
| 15 Sept 2023 22:00 | Aug. 2023 | 4.6% | 3% | 2.5% | above |
| 15 Aug 2023 22:00 | Jul. 2023 | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.1% | below |
| 17 Jul 2023 22:00 | Jun. 2023 | 3.1% | 3.2% | 12.7% | below |
| 15 Jun 2023 22:00 | May. 2023 | 12.7% | 13.6% | 18.4% | below |
| 16 May 2023 22:00 | Apr. 2023 | 18.4% | 21% | 10.6% | below |
| 18 Apr 2023 22:00 | Mar. 2023 | 10.6% | 7.4% | 3.5% | above |
| 15 Mar 2023 22:00 | Feb. 2023 | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.8% | in line |
| 17 Jan 2023 21:00 | Dec. 2022 | -1.8% | -8.6% | -5.9% | above |
| 15 Dec 2022 21:00 | Nov. 2022 | -5.9% | -3.7% | -0.5% | below |
| 15 Nov 2022 21:00 | Oct. 2022 | -0.5% | 1% | 2.5% | below |
| 21 Oct 2022 22:00 | Sep. 2022 | 2.5% | 3.3% | 5.4% | below |
| 16 Sept 2022 22:00 | Aug. 2022 | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | above |
| 15 Aug 2022 22:00 | Jul. 2022 | 2.7% | 5% | 3.1% | below |
| 15 Jul 2022 22:00 | Jun. 2022 | 3.1% | 0% | -6.7% | above |
| 15 Jun 2022 22:00 | May. 2022 | -6.7% | -7.1% | -11.1% | above |
| 16 May 2022 22:00 | Apr. 2022 | -11.1% | -6.1% | -3.5% | below |
| 18 Apr 2022 22:00 | Mar. 2022 | -3.5% | -1.6% | 6.7% | below |
| 15 Mar 2022 22:00 | Feb. 2022 | 6.7% | 3% | 1.7% | above |
| 17 Jan 2022 21:00 | Dec. 2021 | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | below |
| 15 Dec 2021 21:00 | Nov. 2021 | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | below |
| 15 Nov 2021 21:00 | Oct. 2021 | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | above |
| 18 Oct 2021 22:00 | Sep. 2021 | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | above |
| 15 Sept 2021 22:00 | Aug. 2021 | 2.5% | 7% | 8.5% | below |
| 16 Aug 2021 22:00 | Jul. 2021 | 8.5% | 11.5% | 12.1% | below |
| 15 Jul 2021 22:00 | Jun. 2021 | 12.1% | 11% | 12.4% | above |
| 16 Jun 2021 03:00 | May. 2021 | 12.4% | 13.6% | 17.7% | below |
| 17 May 2021 22:00 | Apr. 2021 | 17.7% | 24.9% | 34.2% | below |
| 16 Apr 2021 22:00 | Mar. 2021 | 34.2% | 28% | 33.8% | above |
| 15 Mar 2021 22:00 | Feb. 2021 | 33.8% | 32% | 4.6% | above |
| 18 Jan 2021 21:00 | Dec. 2020 | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5% | below |
| 15 Dec 2020 21:00 | Nov. 2020 | 5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | below |
| 16 Nov 2020 21:00 | Oct. 2020 | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | below |
| 19 Oct 2020 22:00 | Sep. 2020 | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | above |
| 15 Sept 2020 22:00 | Aug. 2020 | 0.5% | 0% | -1.1% | above |
| 14 Aug 2020 22:00 | Jul. 2020 | -1.1% | 0.1% | -1.8% | below |
| 16 Jul 2020 22:00 | Jun. 2020 | -1.8% | 0.3% | -2.8% | below |
| 15 Jun 2020 22:00 | May. 2020 | -2.8% | -2% | -7.5% | below |
| 15 May 2020 22:00 | Apr. 2020 | -7.5% | -7% | -15.8% | below |
| 17 Apr 2020 22:00 | Mar. 2020 | -15.8% | -10% | -20.5% | below |
| 16 Mar 2020 22:00 | Feb. 2020 | -20.5% | 0.8% | 8% | below |
| 17 Jan 2020 21:00 | Dec. 2019 | 8% | 7.8% | 8% | above |
| 16 Dec 2019 21:00 | Nov. 2019 | 8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | above |
| 14 Nov 2019 21:00 | Oct. 2019 | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | below |
| 18 Oct 2019 22:00 | Sep. 2019 | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | in line |
| 16 Sept 2019 22:00 | Aug. 2019 | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | below |
| 14 Aug 2019 22:00 | Jul. 2019 | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.8% | below |
| 15 Jul 2019 22:00 | Jun. 2019 | 9.8% | 8.3% | 8.6% | above |
| 14 Jun 2019 03:00 | May. 2019 | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | above |
| 15 May 2019 22:00 | Apr. 2019 | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.7% | below |
| 17 Apr 2019 22:00 | Mar. 2019 | 8.7% | 8.4% | – | above |
| 14 Mar 2019 22:00 | Feb. 2019 | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | above |
| 21 Jan 2019 21:00 | Dec. 2018 | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | in line |
| 14 Dec 2018 21:00 | Nov. 2018 | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.6% | below |
| 14 Nov 2018 21:00 | Oct. 2018 | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.2% | below |
| 19 Oct 2018 22:00 | Sep. 2018 | 9.2% | 9% | 9% | above |
| 14 Sept 2018 22:00 | Aug. 2018 | 9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | above |
| 14 Aug 2018 22:00 | Jul. 2018 | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9% | below |
| 16 Jul 2018 22:00 | Jun. 2018 | 9% | 9% | 8.5% | in line |
| 14 Jun 2018 22:00 | May. 2018 | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | below |
| 15 May 2018 22:00 | Apr. 2018 | 9.4% | 10% | 10.1% | below |
| 17 Apr 2018 22:00 | Mar. 2018 | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | above |
| 14 Mar 2018 22:00 | Feb. 2018 | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | below |
| 18 Jan 2018 02:00 | Dec. 2017 | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.2% | below |
| 14 Dec 2017 21:00 | Nov. 2017 | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10% | in line |
| 14 Nov 2017 21:00 | Oct. 2017 | 10% | 10.4% | 10.3% | below |
| 19 Oct 2017 22:00 | Sep. 2017 | 10.3% | 10.2% | 10.1% | above |
| 14 Sept 2017 22:00 | Aug. 2017 | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.4% | below |
| 14 Aug 2017 22:00 | Jul. 2017 | 10.4% | 10.8% | 11% | below |
| 17 Jul 2017 22:00 | Jun. 2017 | 11% | 10.6% | 10.7% | above |
| 14 Jun 2017 22:00 | May. 2017 | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.7% | above |
| 15 May 2017 22:00 | Apr. 2017 | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.5% | above |
| 17 Apr 2017 22:00 | Mar. 2017 | 10.9% | – | 9.5% | – |
| 14 Mar 2017 22:00 | Feb. 2017 | 9.5% | 9.6% | – | below |
| 20 Jan 2017 21:00 | Dec. 2016 | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | above |
| 13 Dec 2016 21:00 | Nov. 2016 | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10% | above |
| 14 Nov 2016 21:00 | Oct. 2016 | 10% | 10.7% | 10.7% | below |
| 19 Oct 2016 22:00 | Sep. 2016 | 10.7% | 10.6% | 10.6% | above |
| 13 Sept 2016 22:00 | Aug. 2016 | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.2% | above |
| 12 Aug 2016 22:00 | Jul. 2016 | 10.2% | 10.5% | 10.6% | below |
| 15 Jul 2016 22:00 | Jun. 2016 | 10.6% | 10% | 10% | above |
| 13 Jun 2016 22:00 | May. 2016 | 10% | 10.1% | 10.1% | below |
| 14 May 2016 01:30 | Apr. 2016 | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | below |
| 15 Apr 2016 22:00 | Mar. 2016 | 10.5% | 10.4% | – | above |
| 19 Jan 2016 21:00 | Dec. 2015 | 11.1% | 11.3% | 11.2% | below |
The next China Retail Sales YoY is due Sunday, 15 November 2026 at 21:00 New York time (Oct. 2026), with the forecast at 0.8%.
The last China Retail Sales YoY (Sep. 2026, released 19 Oct 2026) came in at 1.1%, above the 0.6% forecast; the previous reading was 0.4%.
China Retail Sales YoY is released monthly by National Bureau of Statistics. CRTLAB has 118 releases on record since 19 Jan 2016.
Since 2016, China Retail Sales YoY has come in above forecast 40% of the time and below 54% (117 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 33%.
The highest was 34.2% (Mar. 2021) and the lowest -20.5% (Feb. 2020). The five-year average is 3.13%.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the CNY, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the CNY against its forecast, red one that was bad.
In China, the year-over-year change in Retail sales compares the aggregated sales of retail goods and services during a certain month to the same month a year ago.