Next release Sunday, 29 November 2026, 20:30 New York. Every release since 1 Jan 2016: 131 on record, actual against forecast. High impact for the CNY. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last China NBS Manufacturing PMI (Oct. 2026, released 31 Oct 2026) came in at 49.3, below the 50 forecast; the previous reading was 50.1. The next China NBS Manufacturing PMI is due Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 20:30 New York time (Nov. 2026).
Since 2016, China NBS Manufacturing PMI has come in above forecast 44% of the time and below 45% (131 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 42%.
The average miss against forecast over the last 24 releases was 0.32: higher than expected is good for the CNY.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2026 21:30 | Oct. 2026 | 49.3 | 50 | 50.1 | below |
| 30 Sept 2026 21:30 | Sep. 2026 | 50.1 | 50.1 | 49.8 | in line |
| 31 Aug 2026 21:30 | Aug. 2026 | 49.8 | 49.6 | 49.2 | above |
| 31 Jul 2026 21:30 | Jul. 2026 | 49.2 | 50 | 50.3 | below |
| 30 Jun 2026 21:30 | Jun. 2026 | 50.3 | 50.1 | 50 | above |
| 31 May 2026 21:30 | May. 2026 | 50 | 50 | 50.3 | in line |
| 30 Apr 2026 21:30 | Apr. 2026 | 50.3 | 50.1 | 50.4 | above |
| 31 Mar 2026 21:30 | Mar. 2026 | 50.4 | 50.1 | 49 | above |
| 4 Mar 2026 20:30 | Feb. 2026 | 49 | 49.1 | 49.3 | below |
| 31 Jan 2026 20:30 | Jan. 2026 | 49.3 | 50 | 50.1 | below |
| 31 Dec 2025 20:30 | Dec. 2025 | 50.1 | 49.2 | 49.2 | above |
| 30 Nov 2025 20:30 | Nov. 2025 | 49.2 | 49.2 | 49 | in line |
| 31 Oct 2025 21:30 | Oct. 2025 | 49 | 49.6 | 49.8 | below |
| 30 Sept 2025 21:30 | Sep. 2025 | 49.8 | 49.6 | 49.4 | above |
| 31 Aug 2025 21:30 | Aug. 2025 | 49.4 | 49.5 | 49.3 | below |
| 31 Jul 2025 21:30 | Jul. 2025 | 49.3 | 49.7 | 49.7 | below |
| 30 Jun 2025 21:30 | Jun. 2025 | 49.7 | 49.7 | 49.5 | in line |
| 31 May 2025 21:30 | May. 2025 | 49.5 | 49.5 | 49 | in line |
| 30 Apr 2025 21:30 | Apr. 2025 | 49 | 49.8 | 50.5 | below |
| 31 Mar 2025 21:30 | Mar. 2025 | 50.5 | 50.5 | 50.2 | in line |
| 1 Mar 2025 20:30 | Feb. 2025 | 50.2 | 49.9 | 49.1 | above |
| 27 Jan 2025 20:30 | Jan. 2025 | 49.1 | 50.1 | 50.1 | below |
| 31 Dec 2024 20:30 | Dec. 2024 | 50.1 | 50.3 | 50.3 | below |
| 30 Nov 2024 20:30 | Nov. 2024 | 50.3 | 50.2 | 50.1 | above |
| 31 Oct 2024 21:30 | Oct. 2024 | 50.1 | 49.9 | 49.8 | above |
| 30 Sept 2024 21:30 | Sep. 2024 | 49.8 | 49.5 | 49.1 | above |
| 31 Aug 2024 21:30 | Aug. 2024 | 49.1 | 49.5 | 49.4 | below |
| 31 Jul 2024 21:30 | Jul. 2024 | 49.4 | 49.3 | 49.5 | above |
| 30 Jun 2024 21:30 | Jun. 2024 | 49.5 | 49.5 | 49.5 | in line |
| 31 May 2024 21:30 | May. 2024 | 49.5 | 50.4 | 50.4 | below |
| 30 Apr 2024 21:30 | Apr. 2024 | 50.4 | 50.3 | 50.8 | above |
| 31 Mar 2024 21:30 | Mar. 2024 | 50.8 | 49.9 | 49.1 | above |
| 1 Mar 2024 20:30 | Feb. 2024 | 49.1 | 49.1 | 49.2 | in line |
| 31 Jan 2024 20:30 | Jan. 2024 | 49.2 | 49.2 | 49 | in line |
| 31 Dec 2023 20:30 | Dec. 2023 | 49 | 49.5 | 49.4 | below |
| 30 Nov 2023 20:30 | Nov. 2023 | 49.4 | 49.7 | 49.5 | below |
| 31 Oct 2023 21:30 | Oct. 2023 | 49.5 | 50.2 | 50.2 | below |
| 30 Sept 2023 21:30 | Sep. 2023 | 50.2 | 50 | 49.7 | above |
| 31 Aug 2023 21:30 | Aug. 2023 | 49.7 | 49.4 | 49.3 | above |
| 31 Jul 2023 21:30 | Jul. 2023 | 49.3 | 49.2 | 49 | above |
| 30 Jun 2023 21:30 | Jun. 2023 | 49 | 49 | 48.8 | in line |
| 31 May 2023 21:30 | May. 2023 | 48.8 | 49.4 | 49.2 | below |
| 30 Apr 2023 21:30 | Apr. 2023 | 49.2 | 51.4 | 51.9 | below |
| 31 Mar 2023 21:30 | Mar. 2023 | 51.9 | 51.5 | 52.6 | above |
| 1 Mar 2023 20:30 | Feb. 2023 | 52.6 | 50.5 | 50.1 | above |
| 31 Jan 2023 20:30 | Jan. 2023 | 50.1 | 49.8 | 47 | above |
| 31 Dec 2022 20:30 | Dec. 2022 | 47 | 48 | 48 | below |
| 30 Nov 2022 20:30 | Nov. 2022 | 48 | 49 | 49.2 | below |
| 31 Oct 2022 21:30 | Oct. 2022 | 49.2 | 50 | 50.1 | below |
| 30 Sept 2022 21:30 | Sep. 2022 | 50.1 | 49.6 | 49.4 | above |
| 31 Aug 2022 21:30 | Aug. 2022 | 49.4 | 49.2 | 49 | above |
| 31 Jul 2022 21:30 | Jul. 2022 | 49 | 50.4 | 50.2 | below |
| 30 Jun 2022 21:30 | Jun. 2022 | 50.2 | 50.5 | 49.6 | below |
| 31 May 2022 21:30 | May. 2022 | 49.6 | 48.6 | 47.4 | above |
| 30 Apr 2022 21:30 | Apr. 2022 | 47.4 | 48 | 49.5 | below |
| 31 Mar 2022 21:30 | Mar. 2022 | 49.5 | 49.9 | 50.2 | below |
| 1 Mar 2022 20:30 | Feb. 2022 | 50.2 | 49.9 | 50.1 | above |
| 30 Jan 2022 20:30 | Jan. 2022 | 50.1 | 50 | 50.3 | above |
| 31 Dec 2021 20:00 | Dec. 2021 | 50.3 | 50 | 50.1 | above |
| 30 Nov 2021 20:00 | Nov. 2021 | 50.1 | 49.6 | 49.2 | above |
| 31 Oct 2021 21:00 | Oct. 2021 | 49.2 | 49.7 | 49.6 | below |
| 30 Sept 2021 21:00 | Sep. 2021 | 49.6 | 50.1 | 50.1 | below |
| 31 Aug 2021 21:00 | Aug. 2021 | 50.1 | 50.2 | 50.4 | below |
| 31 Jul 2021 21:00 | Jul. 2021 | 50.4 | 50.8 | 50.9 | below |
| 30 Jun 2021 21:00 | Jun. 2021 | 50.9 | 50.8 | 51 | above |
| 31 May 2021 21:00 | May. 2021 | 51 | 51.1 | 51.1 | below |
| 30 Apr 2021 21:00 | Apr. 2021 | 51.1 | 51.7 | 51.9 | below |
| 31 Mar 2021 21:00 | Mar. 2021 | 51.9 | 51.2 | 50.6 | above |
| 28 Feb 2021 02:00 | Feb. 2021 | 50.6 | 51.1 | 51.3 | below |
| 31 Jan 2021 20:00 | Jan. 2021 | 51.3 | 51.6 | 51.9 | below |
| 31 Dec 2020 20:00 | Dec. 2020 | 51.9 | 52 | 52.1 | below |
| 30 Nov 2020 20:00 | Nov. 2020 | 52.1 | 51.5 | 51.4 | above |
| 31 Oct 2020 21:00 | Oct. 2020 | 51.4 | 51.3 | 51.5 | above |
| 30 Sept 2020 21:00 | Sep. 2020 | 51.5 | 51.2 | 51 | above |
| 31 Aug 2020 21:00 | Aug. 2020 | 51 | 51.2 | 51.1 | below |
| 31 Jul 2020 21:00 | Jul. 2020 | 51.1 | 50.7 | 50.9 | above |
| 30 Jun 2020 21:00 | Jun. 2020 | 50.9 | 50.4 | 50.6 | above |
| 31 May 2020 21:00 | May. 2020 | 50.6 | 51 | 50.8 | below |
| 30 Apr 2020 21:00 | Apr. 2020 | 50.8 | 51 | 52 | below |
| 31 Mar 2020 21:00 | Mar. 2020 | 52 | 45 | 35.7 | above |
| 29 Feb 2020 20:00 | Feb. 2020 | 35.7 | 46 | 50 | below |
| 31 Jan 2020 20:00 | Jan. 2020 | 50 | 50 | 50.2 | in line |
| 31 Dec 2019 20:00 | Dec. 2019 | 50.2 | 50.1 | 50.2 | above |
| 30 Nov 2019 20:00 | Nov. 2019 | 50.2 | 49.5 | 49.3 | above |
| 31 Oct 2019 21:00 | Oct. 2019 | 49.3 | 49.8 | 49.8 | below |
| 30 Sept 2019 21:00 | Sep. 2019 | 49.8 | 49.5 | 49.5 | above |
| 31 Aug 2019 21:00 | Aug. 2019 | 49.5 | 49.7 | 49.7 | below |
| 31 Jul 2019 21:00 | Jul. 2019 | 49.7 | 49.6 | 49.4 | above |
| 30 Jun 2019 21:00 | Jun. 2019 | 49.4 | 49.5 | 49.4 | below |
| 31 May 2019 21:00 | May. 2019 | 49.4 | 49.9 | 50.1 | below |
| 30 Apr 2019 21:00 | Apr. 2019 | 50.1 | 50.5 | 50.5 | below |
| 31 Mar 2019 21:00 | Mar. 2019 | 50.5 | 49.5 | 49.2 | above |
| 28 Feb 2019 20:00 | Feb. 2019 | 49.2 | 49.5 | 49.5 | below |
| 31 Jan 2019 20:00 | Jan. 2019 | 49.5 | 49.3 | 49.4 | above |
| 31 Dec 2018 20:00 | Dec. 2018 | 49.4 | 49.9 | 50 | below |
| 30 Nov 2018 20:00 | Nov. 2018 | 50 | 50.2 | 50.2 | below |
| 31 Oct 2018 21:00 | Oct. 2018 | 50.2 | 50.6 | 50.8 | below |
| 30 Sept 2018 21:00 | Sep. 2018 | 50.8 | 51.2 | 51.3 | below |
| 31 Aug 2018 21:00 | Aug. 2018 | 51.3 | 51 | 51.2 | above |
| 31 Jul 2018 21:00 | Jul. 2018 | 51.2 | 51.3 | 51.5 | below |
| 30 Jun 2018 21:00 | Jun. 2018 | 51.5 | 51.6 | 51.9 | below |
| 31 May 2018 21:00 | May. 2018 | 51.9 | 51.3 | 51.4 | above |
| 30 Apr 2018 21:00 | Apr. 2018 | 51.4 | 51.3 | 51.5 | above |
| 31 Mar 2018 21:00 | Mar. 2018 | 51.5 | 50.5 | 50.3 | above |
| 28 Feb 2018 20:00 | Feb. 2018 | 50.3 | 51.2 | 51.3 | below |
| 31 Jan 2018 20:00 | Jan. 2018 | 51.3 | 51.5 | 51.6 | below |
| 31 Dec 2017 20:00 | Dec. 2017 | 51.6 | 51.6 | 51.8 | in line |
| 30 Nov 2017 20:00 | Nov. 2017 | 51.8 | 51.4 | 51.6 | above |
| 31 Oct 2017 21:00 | Oct. 2017 | 51.6 | 52 | 52.4 | below |
| 30 Sept 2017 21:00 | Sep. 2017 | 52.4 | 51.5 | 51.7 | above |
| 31 Aug 2017 21:00 | Aug. 2017 | 51.7 | 51.3 | 51.4 | above |
| 31 Jul 2017 21:00 | Jul. 2017 | 51.4 | 51.6 | 51.7 | below |
| 30 Jun 2017 21:00 | Jun. 2017 | 51.7 | 51 | 51.2 | above |
| 31 May 2017 21:00 | May. 2017 | 51.2 | 51 | 51.2 | above |
| 30 Apr 2017 21:00 | Apr. 2017 | 51.2 | 51.6 | 51.8 | below |
| 31 Mar 2017 21:00 | Mar. 2017 | 51.8 | 51.6 | 51.6 | above |
| 1 Mar 2017 20:00 | Feb. 2017 | 51.6 | 51.1 | 51.3 | above |
| 1 Feb 2017 20:00 | Jan. 2017 | 51.3 | 51.2 | 51.4 | above |
| 1 Jan 2017 20:00 | Dec. 2016 | 51.4 | 51.5 | 51.7 | below |
| 1 Dec 2016 20:00 | Nov. 2016 | 51.7 | 51 | 51.2 | above |
The next China NBS Manufacturing PMI is due Sunday, 29 November 2026 at 20:30 New York time (Nov. 2026).
The last China NBS Manufacturing PMI (Oct. 2026, released 31 Oct 2026) came in at 49.3, below the 50 forecast; the previous reading was 50.1.
China NBS Manufacturing PMI is released monthly by National Bureau of Statistics. CRTLAB has 131 releases on record since 1 Jan 2016.
Since 2016, China NBS Manufacturing PMI has come in above forecast 44% of the time and below 45% (131 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 42%.
The highest was 52.6 (Feb. 2023) and the lowest 35.7 (Feb. 2020). The five-year average is 49.64.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the CNY, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the CNY against its forecast, red one that was bad.
In China, the NBS Manufacturing Purchasing Manager Index measures the performance of the manufacturing sector and is derived from a survey of more large-scale, state-owned companies. The Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index is based on five individual indexes with the following weights: New Orders (30 percent), Output (25 percent), Employment (20 percent), Suppliers’ Delivery Times (15 percent) and Stock of Items Purchased (10 percent), with the Delivery Times index inverted so that it moves in a comparable direction.