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Fair Value Gaps
1/19
XAU/USD15m

Fair Value Gaps

The three-candle pattern every ICT trader marks. Learn it on real gold charts, then prove you can spot it.

  • Spot the gapThree candles, and the outer two never touch.
  • Read itEdges, midpoint, bullish or bearish.
  • Know the oddsWhat 15,456 real gold gaps did next.

8 minutes · Real gold data · 4 practice charts

Real chart

Gold, Thursday morning

This is a real gold chart from 3 September 2026. Each candle is 15 minutes of trading. Watch the next three candles closely.

Candle 1

Look at the top

This is candle 1. Notice the very top of it, the tip of its wick. That level matters in a moment.

Candle 2

A big, fast move

Candle 2. US news comes out at 8:30 AM and gold shoots up $33.30 in one candle. A move this fast skips over prices.

Candle 3

They don't touch

Candle 3. Its bottom never drops back down to the top of candle 1. There is empty space between them.

The gap

That space is the gap

The empty space between candle 1 and candle 3 is a fair value gap (FVG). Price raced through it so fast that almost nothing traded there. Price went up, so it is a bullish gap.

Midpoint

The middle line

The middle of the gap has a name: consequent encroachment, or CE. Many traders watch how price reacts there.

The return

Price comes back

About an hour later, gold drops back into the gap and dips just past the middle line.

The outcome

This time, it holds

From the gap, gold turns and climbs again: $55.70 higher by 11:15 AM.

Bearish

The same, upside down

Gaps work in both directions. Here gold falls fast. The bottom of candle 1 and the top of candle 3 never meet, so the gap sits above price. That is a bearish gap.

Bearish

Not every gap holds

This one does not hold. Price comes back after 15 minutes and keeps going, right through the whole gap. A gap is a place to watch, not a promise.

See this day on the CRTLAB chart

Bigger gaps, better odds

We measured every gap on 13 markets. Small gaps get filled most often, but trading them loses the most. R is the average result per trade, where 1R is what you risk.

−0.44Rsmall gaps, per trade
−0.18Rmedium gaps
−0.04Rlarge gaps
Real gapFake gap, same distance
Small, filled 24h
92.1%91.7%
Medium
89.3%89.3%
Large
81.5%81.5%
Practice 1 of 4

Find the gap

Look for one big candle whose neighbours don’t touch. Tap that big middle candle.

Practice 2 of 4

Find the gap

Look for one big candle whose neighbours don’t touch. Tap that big middle candle.

Practice 3 of 4

Find the gap

Look for one big candle whose neighbours don’t touch. Tap that big middle candle.

Practice 4 of 4

Find the gap

Look for one big candle whose neighbours don’t touch. Tap that big middle candle.

What 15,456 gold gaps did

We checked every gold gap since 2022, and drew a fake gap the same distance from price to compare. If gaps had a magic pull, the real ones would win easily. They don't.

30 minmedian wait for the first touch
86.7%filled within 24 hours
−0.19Rper trade, buying every first touch
Real gapFake gap, same distance
Touched in 4h
82%80.9%
Filled in 4h
67.8%67.7%
Filled in 24h
86.7%86.9%

The three checks

  1. 1. A big candleA fast move: candle 2.
  2. 2. Neighbours don't touchCandle 1 and candle 3 leave an empty band.
  3. 3. Mark edges and midpointTwo edges, plus CE at 50%. Favour the big ones.

A gap is a map of where price moved fast, not a signal on its own.

Lesson complete

You can spot a fair value gap, read it both ways, and you know what the data says.

0/4gaps found first try
0/4calls right
Practise FVGs on gold
Lesson 2 · Liquidity and Stop HuntsComing soon
8 minutes · 4 practice charts

Fair value gaps: questions

Lesson 1 of the free CRTLAB trading course. Numbers from every 15-minute gold gap, 1 Jul 2022 to 18 Sept 2026; all 13 markets on the fair value gap statistics page.

What is a fair value gap in trading?

A fair value gap (FVG) is a three-candle pattern where the first and third candles don't overlap. In a bullish FVG, candle 1's high is below candle 3's low; in a bearish one, candle 1's low is above candle 3's high. The band between them is the gap: prices the market crossed so fast that almost nothing traded there.

How do you identify a fair value gap?

Find a large candle (candle 2). Look at the candle before it and the one after it. If their wicks don't overlap, the space between candle 1's wick and candle 3's wick is a fair value gap.

Do fair value gaps always get filled?

No. On gold's 15-minute chart, 86.7% of 15,456 gaps filled completely within 24 hours. A fake gap placed the same distance from price filled 86.9% of the time, so the fill rate mostly reflects how close the gap is, not a pull from the gap itself.

What is consequent encroachment (CE)?

Consequent encroachment is ICT's name for the 50% midpoint of a fair value gap. On gold, price reached the midpoint of 74% of 15-minute gaps within four hours and 89% within a day.

What is the difference between a bullish and a bearish FVG?

A bullish FVG forms when price moves up fast: the gap sits below price, between candle 1's high and candle 3's low. A bearish FVG forms when price drops fast: the gap sits above price, between candle 3's high and candle 1's low.

Is the fair value gap strategy profitable on its own?

Measured honestly, no. Buying or selling the first touch of every gold FVG with a stop at the far edge and a 2R target won 27% of 13,181 trades and averaged −0.19R per trade before costs. Traders combine gaps with context: session, higher-timeframe direction and liquidity.

Is this trading course free?

Yes. Every lesson is free with no signup. Practising on the full chart uses CRTLAB's free daily candles.

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Version
v1.11.0
Last updated
8 Nov 2026
Email us
crtlab@proton.me
Based in
United Kingdom

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