Next release Thursday, 12 November 2026, 02:00 New York. Every release since 8 Jan 2016: 130 on record, actual against forecast. Medium impact for the GBP. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Aug. 2026, released 15 Oct 2026) came in at -£5.287B; the previous reading was -£8.185B. The next UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU is due Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 02:00 New York time (Sep. 2026).
Since 2016, UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU has come in above forecast 35% of the time and below 65% (49 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 33%. It has now come in below forecast 4 releases in a row.
The average miss against forecast over the last 24 releases was 1.92£B: higher than expected is good for the GBP.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2026 02:00 | Aug. 2026 | -£5.287B | – | -£8.185B | – |
| 11 Sept 2026 02:00 | Jul. 2026 | -£8.185B | – | -£9.12B | – |
| 13 Aug 2026 02:00 | Jun. 2026 | -£9.12B | – | -£8.415B | – |
| 16 Jul 2026 02:00 | May. 2026 | -£8.415B | – | -£11.575B | – |
| 12 Jun 2026 02:00 | Apr. 2026 | -£11.575B | – | -£13.876B | – |
| 14 May 2026 02:00 | Mar. 2026 | -£13.876B | – | -£11.082B | – |
| 16 Apr 2026 02:00 | Feb. 2026 | -£11.082B | – | -£4.502B | – |
| 13 Mar 2026 03:00 | Jan. 2026 | -£4.502B | – | -£6.912B | – |
| 12 Feb 2026 02:00 | Dec. 2025 | -£6.912B | – | -£9.432B | – |
| 15 Jan 2026 02:00 | Nov. 2025 | -£9.432B | – | -£10.486B | – |
| 12 Dec 2025 02:00 | Oct. 2025 | -£10.486B | – | -£8.956B | – |
| 13 Nov 2025 02:00 | Sep. 2025 | -£8.956B | – | -£6.233B | – |
| 16 Oct 2025 02:00 | Aug. 2025 | -£6.233B | – | -£7.473B | – |
| 12 Sept 2025 02:00 | Jul. 2025 | -£7.473B | – | -£9.297B | – |
| 14 Aug 2025 02:00 | Jun. 2025 | -£9.297B | – | -£8.172B | – |
| 11 Jul 2025 02:00 | May. 2025 | -£8.172B | – | -£7.908B | – |
| 12 Jun 2025 02:00 | Apr. 2025 | -£7.908B | – | -£6.158B | – |
| 15 May 2025 02:00 | Mar. 2025 | -£6.158B | – | -£7.46B | – |
| 11 Apr 2025 02:00 | Feb. 2025 | -£7.46B | – | -£6.899B | – |
| 28 Mar 2025 03:00 | Jan. 2025 | -£6.899B | – | -£6.684B | – |
| 13 Feb 2025 02:00 | Dec. 2024 | -£6.684B | – | -£7.885B | – |
| 16 Jan 2025 02:00 | Nov. 2024 | -£7.885B | – | -£6.786B | – |
| 13 Dec 2024 02:00 | Oct. 2024 | -£6.786B | – | -£3.151B | – |
| 15 Nov 2024 02:00 | Sep. 2024 | -£3.151B | – | -£4.081B | – |
| 11 Oct 2024 02:00 | Aug. 2024 | -£4.081B | – | -£5.371B | – |
| 11 Sept 2024 02:00 | Jul. 2024 | -£5.371B | – | -£6.926B | – |
| 15 Aug 2024 02:00 | Jun. 2024 | -£6.926B | – | -£8.265B | – |
| 11 Jul 2024 02:00 | May. 2024 | -£8.265B | – | -£7.426B | – |
| 12 Jun 2024 02:00 | Apr. 2024 | -£7.426B | – | -£4.442B | – |
| 10 May 2024 02:00 | Mar. 2024 | -£4.442B | – | -£2.654B | – |
| 12 Apr 2024 02:00 | Feb. 2024 | -£2.654B | – | -£2.182B | – |
| 13 Mar 2024 03:00 | Jan. 2024 | -£2.182B | – | -£2.125B | – |
| 15 Feb 2024 02:00 | Dec. 2023 | -£2.125B | – | -£3.585B | – |
| 12 Jan 2024 02:00 | Nov. 2023 | -£3.585B | – | -£5.597B | – |
| 13 Dec 2023 02:00 | Oct. 2023 | -£5.597B | – | -£4.31B | – |
| 10 Nov 2023 02:00 | Sep. 2023 | -£4.31B | – | -£5.312B | – |
| 12 Oct 2023 02:00 | Aug. 2023 | -£5.312B | – | -£2.664B | – |
| 13 Sept 2023 02:00 | Jul. 2023 | -£2.664B | – | -£2.875B | – |
| 11 Aug 2023 02:00 | Jun. 2023 | -£2.875B | – | -£7.007B | – |
| 13 Jul 2023 02:00 | May. 2023 | -£7.007B | – | -£4.111B | – |
| 14 Jun 2023 02:00 | Apr. 2023 | -£4.111B | – | -£5.008B | – |
| 12 May 2023 02:00 | Mar. 2023 | -£5.008B | – | -£5.939B | – |
| 13 Apr 2023 02:00 | Feb. 2023 | -£5.939B | – | -£6.481B | – |
| 10 Mar 2023 02:00 | Jan. 2023 | -£6.481B | – | -£5.793B | – |
| 10 Feb 2023 02:00 | Dec. 2022 | -£5.793B | – | -£0.659B | – |
| 13 Jan 2023 02:00 | Nov. 2022 | -£0.659B | – | -£0.036B | – |
| 12 Dec 2022 02:00 | Oct. 2022 | -£0.036B | – | -£4.708B | – |
| 11 Nov 2022 02:00 | Sep. 2022 | -£4.708B | – | -£6.595B | – |
| 12 Oct 2022 02:00 | Aug. 2022 | -£6.595B | – | -£7.877B | – |
| 12 Sept 2022 02:00 | Jul. 2022 | -£7.877B | – | -£11.209B | – |
| 12 Aug 2022 02:00 | Jun. 2022 | -£11.209B | – | -£10.622B | – |
| 13 Jul 2022 02:00 | May. 2022 | -£10.622B | – | -£11.068B | – |
| 13 Jun 2022 02:00 | Apr. 2022 | -£11.068B | – | -£12.908B | – |
| 12 May 2022 02:00 | Mar. 2022 | -£12.908B | – | -£12.41B | – |
| 11 Apr 2022 02:00 | Feb. 2022 | -£12.41B | – | -£12.175B | – |
| 11 Mar 2022 02:00 | Jan. 2022 | -£12.175B | – | -£9.585B | – |
| 11 Feb 2022 02:00 | Dec. 2021 | -£9.585B | – | -£6.331B | – |
| 14 Jan 2022 02:00 | Nov. 2021 | -£6.331B | – | -£4.763B | – |
| 10 Dec 2021 02:00 | Oct. 2021 | -£4.763B | – | -£8.117B | – |
| 11 Nov 2021 02:00 | Sep. 2021 | -£8.117B | – | -£7.217B | – |
| 13 Oct 2021 02:00 | Aug. 2021 | -£7.217B | – | -£7.483B | – |
| 10 Sept 2021 02:00 | Jul. 2021 | -£7.483B | – | -£6.026B | – |
| 12 Aug 2021 02:00 | Jun. 2021 | -£6.026B | – | -£3.627B | – |
| 9 Jul 2021 12:00 | May. 2021 | -£3.627B | – | -£3.519B | – |
| 11 Jun 2021 02:00 | Apr. 2021 | -£3.519B | – | -£3.868B | – |
| 12 May 2021 02:00 | Mar. 2021 | -£3.868B | – | -£7.389B | – |
| 13 Apr 2021 02:00 | Feb. 2021 | -£7.389B | -£4.05B | -£5.89B | below |
| 12 Mar 2021 02:00 | Jan. 2021 | -£5.89B | -£4.95B | -£7.798B | below |
| 12 Feb 2021 02:00 | Dec. 2020 | -£7.798B | – | -£6.373B | – |
| 15 Jan 2021 02:00 | Nov. 2020 | -£6.373B | – | -£4.531B | – |
| 10 Dec 2020 02:00 | Oct. 2020 | -£4.531B | -£1.4B | -£4.814B | below |
| 12 Nov 2020 02:00 | Sep. 2020 | -£4.814B | -£2.4B | -£2.136B | below |
| 9 Oct 2020 02:00 | Aug. 2020 | -£2.136B | -£2.8B | -£3.064B | above |
| 11 Sept 2020 02:00 | Jul. 2020 | -£3.064B | – | -£1.289B | – |
| 12 Aug 2020 02:00 | Jun. 2020 | -£1.289B | – | £1.608B | – |
| 14 Jul 2020 02:00 | May. 2020 | £1.608B | – | £0.594B | – |
| 12 Jun 2020 02:00 | Apr. 2020 | £0.594B | – | -£2.311B | – |
| 13 May 2020 02:00 | Mar. 2020 | -£2.311B | -£4B | -£4.74B | above |
| 9 Apr 2020 02:00 | Feb. 2020 | -£4.74B | -£0.5B | -£1.521B | below |
| 11 Mar 2020 05:30 | Jan. 2020 | -£1.521B | -£1.5B | £4.52B | below |
| 11 Feb 2020 04:30 | Dec. 2019 | £4.52B | – | £3.223B | – |
| 13 Jan 2020 04:30 | Nov. 2019 | £3.223B | -£3.5B | -£2.076B | above |
| 10 Dec 2019 04:30 | Oct. 2019 | -£2.076B | -£3.5B | -£2.926B | above |
| 11 Nov 2019 04:30 | Sep. 2019 | -£2.926B | -£2.5B | -£3.426B | below |
| 10 Oct 2019 04:30 | Aug. 2019 | -£3.426B | -£2.8B | -£1.72B | below |
| 9 Sept 2019 04:30 | Jul. 2019 | -£1.72B | – | -£1.781B | – |
| 9 Aug 2019 04:30 | Jun. 2019 | -£1.781B | – | -£5.664B | – |
| 10 Jul 2019 04:30 | May. 2019 | -£5.664B | -£4.6B | -£6.18B | below |
| 10 Jun 2019 04:30 | Apr. 2019 | -£6.18B | -£4.476B | -£7.633B | below |
| 10 May 2019 04:30 | Mar. 2019 | -£7.633B | -£5.4B | -£8.732B | below |
| 10 Apr 2019 04:30 | Feb. 2019 | -£8.732B | -£4.5B | -£8.139B | below |
| 12 Mar 2019 05:30 | Jan. 2019 | -£8.139B | -£3.7B | -£5.588B | below |
| 11 Feb 2019 04:30 | Dec. 2018 | -£5.588B | – | -£3.937B | – |
| 11 Jan 2019 04:30 | Nov. 2018 | -£3.937B | -£3.7B | -£3.571B | below |
| 10 Dec 2018 04:30 | Oct. 2018 | -£3.571B | -£3.15B | -£1.973B | below |
| 9 Nov 2018 04:30 | Sep. 2018 | -£1.973B | -£3.9B | -£5.122B | above |
| 10 Oct 2018 04:30 | Aug. 2018 | -£5.122B | -£3.1B | -£3.472B | below |
| 10 Sept 2018 04:30 | Jul. 2018 | -£3.472B | -£3.3B | -£2.264B | below |
| 10 Aug 2018 04:30 | Jun. 2018 | -£2.264B | -£3.6B | -£2.987B | above |
| 10 Jul 2018 04:30 | May. 2018 | -£2.987B | -£3.7B | -£3.858B | above |
| 11 Jun 2018 04:30 | Apr. 2018 | -£3.858B | -£3.2B | -£3.694B | below |
| 10 May 2018 04:30 | Mar. 2018 | -£3.694B | – | -£2.004B | – |
| 11 Apr 2018 04:30 | Feb. 2018 | -£2.004B | – | -£3.17B | – |
| 9 Mar 2018 04:30 | Jan. 2018 | -£3.17B | -£4.4B | -£3.627B | above |
| 9 Feb 2018 04:30 | Dec. 2017 | -£3.627B | -£4.1B | -£4.047B | above |
| 10 Jan 2018 04:30 | Nov. 2017 | -£4.047B | -£2.6B | -£2.669B | below |
| 8 Dec 2017 04:30 | Oct. 2017 | -£2.669B | -£3.3B | -£3.766B | above |
| 10 Nov 2017 04:30 | Sep. 2017 | -£3.766B | – | -£4.341B | – |
| 10 Oct 2017 04:30 | Aug. 2017 | -£4.341B | -£3.6B | -£4.831B | below |
| 8 Sept 2017 04:30 | Jul. 2017 | -£4.831B | – | -£5.345B | – |
| 10 Aug 2017 04:30 | Jun. 2017 | -£5.345B | -£3B | -£3.326B | below |
| 7 Jul 2017 04:30 | May. 2017 | -£3.326B | -£2.5B | -£1.857B | below |
| 9 Jun 2017 04:30 | Apr. 2017 | -£1.857B | -£3.25B | -£3.716B | above |
| 11 May 2017 04:30 | Mar. 2017 | -£3.716B | -£3.4B | -£3.311B | below |
| 7 Apr 2017 04:30 | Feb. 2017 | -£3.311B | – | -£3.899B | – |
| 10 Mar 2017 04:30 | Jan. 2017 | -£3.899B | -£2.5B | -£3.524B | below |
| 10 Feb 2017 04:30 | Dec. 2016 | -£3.524B | -£3.3B | -£2.898B | below |
| 11 Jan 2017 04:35 | Nov. 2016 | -£2.898B | -£3B | -£2.195B | above |
| 9 Dec 2016 04:30 | Oct. 2016 | -£2.195B | -£3.48B | -£4.593B | above |
| 9 Nov 2016 04:30 | Sep. 2016 | -£4.593B | -£3.35B | -£5.798B | below |
The next UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU is due Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 02:00 New York time (Sep. 2026).
The last UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU (Aug. 2026, released 15 Oct 2026) came in at -£5.287B; the previous reading was -£8.185B.
UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU is released monthly by Office for National Statistics. CRTLAB has 130 releases on record since 8 Jan 2016.
Since 2016, UK Goods Trade Balance Non-EU has come in above forecast 35% of the time and below 65% (49 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 33%. It has now come in below forecast 4 releases in a row.
The highest was £4.52B (Dec. 2019) and the lowest -£13.876B (Mar. 2026). The five-year average is -6.89£B.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the GBP, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the GBP against its forecast, red one that was bad.