Next release Thursday, 12 November 2026, 02:00 New York. Every release since 28 Jan 2016: 86 on record, actual against forecast. High impact for the GBP. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last UK GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q2 2026 · final, released 30 Sept 2026) came in at 1.4%, above the 1.2% forecast; the previous reading was 0.8%. The next UK GDP Growth Rate YoY is due Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 02:00 New York time (Q3 2026 · preliminary), with the forecast at 1.9%.
Since 2016, UK GDP Growth Rate YoY has come in above forecast 58% of the time and below 27% (86 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 50%. It has now come in above forecast 2 releases in a row.
The average miss against forecast over the last 24 releases was 0.19%: higher than expected is good for the GBP.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sept 2026 02:00 | Q2 2026 · final | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.8% | above |
| 13 Aug 2026 02:00 | Q2 2026 · preliminary | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | above |
| 30 Jun 2026 02:00 | Q1 2026 · final | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% | below |
| 14 May 2026 02:00 | Q1 2026 · preliminary | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1% | above |
| 31 Mar 2026 02:00 | Q4 2025 · final | 0.8% | 1% | 1.2% | below |
| 12 Feb 2026 02:00 | Q4 2025 · preliminary | 1% | 1.2% | 1.3% | below |
| 22 Dec 2025 02:00 | Q3 2025 · final | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | below |
| 13 Nov 2025 02:00 | Q3 2025 · preliminary | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | below |
| 30 Sept 2025 02:00 | Q2 2025 · final | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | below |
| 14 Aug 2025 02:00 | Q2 2025 · preliminary | 1.2% | 1% | 1.3% | above |
| 30 Jun 2025 02:00 | Q1 2025 · final | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | above |
| 15 May 2025 02:00 | Q1 2025 · preliminary | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.4% | above |
| 28 Mar 2025 03:00 | Q4 2024 · final | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | above |
| 13 Feb 2025 02:00 | Q4 2024 · preliminary | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1% | above |
| 23 Dec 2024 02:00 | Q3 2024 · final | 1.3% | 1% | 0.9% | above |
| 15 Nov 2024 02:00 | Q3 2024 · preliminary | 1% | 1% | 0.9% | in line |
| 30 Sept 2024 02:00 | Q2 2024 · final | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | in line |
| 15 Aug 2024 02:00 | Q2 2024 · preliminary | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | in line |
| 28 Jun 2024 02:00 | Q1 2024 · final | 0.4% | 0.2% | -0.2% | above |
| 10 May 2024 02:00 | Q1 2024 · preliminary | 0.2% | 0% | -0.2% | above |
| 28 Mar 2024 03:00 | Q4 2023 · final | -0.2% | -0.2% | 0.3% | in line |
| 15 Feb 2024 02:00 | Q4 2023 · preliminary | -0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | below |
| 22 Dec 2023 02:00 | Q3 2023 · final | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | below |
| 10 Nov 2023 02:00 | Q3 2023 · preliminary | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | above |
| 29 Sept 2023 02:00 | Q2 2023 · final | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | above |
| 11 Aug 2023 02:00 | Q2 2023 · preliminary | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | above |
| 30 Jun 2023 02:00 | Q1 2023 · final | 1.1% | 0.2% | 1.8% | above |
| 12 May 2023 02:00 | Q1 2023 · preliminary | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | in line |
| 31 Mar 2023 02:00 | Q4 2022 · final | 1.8% | 0.4% | 2.9% | above |
| 10 Feb 2023 02:00 | Q4 2022 · preliminary | 0.4% | 0.4% | 2.4% | in line |
| 22 Dec 2022 02:00 | Q3 2022 · final | 2.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | above |
| 11 Nov 2022 02:00 | Q3 2022 · preliminary | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | above |
| 30 Sept 2022 02:00 | Q2 2022 · final | 4.6% | 2.9% | 11.3% | above |
| 12 Aug 2022 02:00 | Q2 2022 · preliminary | 2.9% | 2.8% | 8.7% | above |
| 30 Jun 2022 02:00 | Q1 2022 · final | 11.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | above |
| 12 May 2022 02:00 | Q1 2022 · preliminary | 8.7% | 9% | 6.5% | below |
| 31 Mar 2022 02:00 | Q4 2021 · final | 9.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | above |
| 11 Feb 2022 03:00 | Q4 2021 · preliminary | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | above |
| 22 Dec 2021 02:00 | Q3 2021 · final | 9.1% | 6.6% | 25.4% | above |
| 11 Nov 2021 02:00 | Q3 2021 · preliminary | 6.6% | 6.8% | 22.2% | below |
| 30 Sept 2021 02:00 | Q2 2021 · final | 25.4% | 22.2% | -6.2% | above |
| 12 Aug 2021 02:00 | Q2 2021 · preliminary | 22.2% | 22.1% | -6.1% | above |
| 30 Jun 2021 02:00 | Q1 2021 · final | -6.2% | -6.1% | -7.8% | below |
| 12 May 2021 02:00 | Q1 2021 · preliminary | -6.1% | -6.1% | -7.8% | in line |
| 31 Mar 2021 02:00 | Q4 2020 · final | -7.8% | -7.8% | -8.9% | in line |
| 12 Feb 2021 02:00 | Q4 2020 · preliminary | -7.8% | -8.1% | -9.6% | above |
| 22 Dec 2020 02:00 | Q3 2020 · final | -8.9% | -9.6% | -21.6% | above |
| 12 Nov 2020 02:00 | Q3 2020 · preliminary | -9.6% | -9.4% | -21.7% | below |
| 30 Sept 2020 02:00 | Q2 2020 · final | -21.6% | -21.7% | -1.8% | above |
| 12 Aug 2020 02:00 | Q2 2020 · preliminary | -21.7% | -22.4% | -1.6% | above |
| 30 Jun 2020 02:00 | Q1 2020 · final | -1.8% | -1.6% | 1.6% | below |
| 13 May 2020 02:00 | Q1 2020 · preliminary | -1.6% | -2.1% | 1.1% | above |
| 31 Mar 2020 02:00 | Q4 2019 · final | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | above |
| 11 Feb 2020 04:30 | Q4 2019 · preliminary | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1% | above |
| 20 Dec 2019 04:30 | Q3 2019 · final | 1.5% | 1% | 1.3% | above |
| 11 Nov 2019 04:30 | Q3 2019 · preliminary | 1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | below |
| 30 Sept 2019 04:30 | Q2 2019 · final | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | above |
| 9 Aug 2019 04:30 | Q2 2019 · preliminary | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.8% | below |
| 28 Jun 2019 04:30 | Q1 2019 · final | 1.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | below |
| 10 May 2019 04:30 | Q1 2019 · preliminary | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% | in line |
| 29 Mar 2019 05:30 | Q4 2018 · final | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | below |
| 11 Feb 2019 04:30 | Q4 2018 · preliminary | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | below |
| 21 Dec 2018 04:30 | Q3 2018 · final | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | below |
| 9 Nov 2018 04:30 | Q3 2018 · preliminary | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | in line |
| 28 Sept 2018 04:30 | Q2 2018 · final | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | above |
| 10 Aug 2018 04:30 | Q2 2018 · preliminary | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | in line |
| 29 Jun 2018 04:30 | Q1 2018 · final | 2.6% | 1.2% | 3.7% | above |
| 27 Apr 2018 04:30 | Q1 2018 · preliminary | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | below |
| 29 Mar 2018 04:30 | Q4 2017 · final | 3.7% | 1.4% | 3.5% | above |
| 26 Jan 2018 04:30 | Q4 2017 · preliminary | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | above |
| 22 Dec 2017 04:30 | Q3 2017 · final | 3.5% | 1.5% | 3.1% | above |
| 25 Oct 2017 04:30 | Q3 2017 · preliminary | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | above |
| 29 Sept 2017 04:30 | Q2 2017 · final | 3.1% | 1.7% | 2.9% | above |
| 26 Jul 2017 04:30 | Q2 2017 · preliminary | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | in line |
| 30 Jun 2017 04:30 | Q1 2017 · final | 2.9% | 2% | 2.3% | above |
| 28 Apr 2017 04:30 | Q1 2017 · preliminary | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.2% | below |
| 31 Mar 2017 04:30 | Q4 2016 · final | 2.3% | 2% | 2.2% | above |
| 26 Jan 2017 04:30 | Q4 2016 · preliminary | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | above |
| 23 Dec 2016 04:30 | Q3 2016 · final | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | below |
| 27 Oct 2016 04:30 | Q3 2016 · preliminary | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.2% | above |
| 30 Sept 2016 04:30 | Q2 2016 · final | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | above |
| 27 Jul 2016 04:30 | Q2 2016 · preliminary | 2.2% | 2% | 2.1% | above |
| 30 Jun 2016 04:30 | Q1 2016 · final | 2.1% | 2% | 1.8% | above |
| 27 Apr 2016 04:30 | Q1 2016 · preliminary | 2.1% | 2% | 1.9% | above |
| 31 Mar 2016 04:30 | Q4 2015 · final | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2% | below |
| 28 Jan 2016 04:30 | Q4 2015 · preliminary | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | in line |
The next UK GDP Growth Rate YoY is due Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 02:00 New York time (Q3 2026 · preliminary), with the forecast at 1.9%.
The last UK GDP Growth Rate YoY (Q2 2026 · final, released 30 Sept 2026) came in at 1.4%, above the 1.2% forecast; the previous reading was 0.8%.
UK GDP Growth Rate YoY is released every 6–8 weeks by Office for National Statistics. CRTLAB has 86 releases on record since 28 Jan 2016.
Since 2016, UK GDP Growth Rate YoY has come in above forecast 58% of the time and below 27% (86 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 50%. It has now come in above forecast 2 releases in a row.
The highest was 25.4% (Q2 2021) and the lowest -21.7% (Q2 2020). The five-year average is 2.28%.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the GBP, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the GBP against its forecast, red one that was bad.
GDP The United Kingdom is the sixth largest economy in the world and the second largest in Europe after Germany. The Services sector is the most important and accounts for 79 percent to total GDP.