Every release since 14 Jan 2016: 90 on record, actual against forecast. Medium impact for the GBP. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last UK BoE MPC Vote Hike (Nov. 2026, released 5 Nov 2026) came in at 9, above the 7 forecast; the previous reading was 3.
Since 2016, UK BoE MPC Vote Hike has come in above forecast 12% of the time and below 7% (89 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 17%.
The average miss against forecast over the last 24 releases was 0.21: higher than expected is good for the GBP.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2026 07:00 | Nov. 2026 | 9 | 7 | 3 | above |
| 17 Sept 2026 07:00 | Sep. 2026 | 3 | 3 | 3 | in line |
| 30 Jul 2026 07:00 | Jul. 2026 | 3 | 2 | 2 | above |
| 18 Jun 2026 07:00 | Jun. 2026 | 2 | 2 | 1 | in line |
| 30 Apr 2026 07:00 | Apr. 2026 | 1 | 1 | 0 | in line |
| 19 Mar 2026 08:00 | Mar. 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 5 Feb 2026 07:00 | Feb. 2026 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 18 Dec 2025 07:00 | Dec. 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 6 Nov 2025 07:00 | Nov. 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 18 Sept 2025 07:00 | Sep. 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 7 Aug 2025 07:00 | Aug. 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 19 Jun 2025 07:00 | Jun. 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 8 May 2025 07:02 | May. 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 20 Mar 2025 08:00 | Mar. 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 6 Feb 2025 07:00 | Feb. 2025 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 19 Dec 2024 07:00 | Dec. 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 7 Nov 2024 07:00 | Nov. 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 19 Sept 2024 07:00 | Sep. 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 1 Aug 2024 07:00 | Aug. 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 20 Jun 2024 07:00 | Jun. 2024 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 9 May 2024 07:00 | May. 2024 | 0 | – | 0 | – |
| 21 Mar 2024 08:00 | Mar. 2024 | 0 | 1 | 2 | below |
| 1 Feb 2024 07:00 | Feb. 2024 | 2 | 1 | 3 | above |
| 14 Dec 2023 07:00 | Dec. 2023 | 3 | 3 | 3 | in line |
| 2 Nov 2023 08:00 | Nov. 2023 | 3 | 3 | 4 | in line |
| 21 Sept 2023 07:00 | Sep. 2023 | 4 | 8 | 8 | below |
| 3 Aug 2023 07:00 | Aug. 2023 | 8 | 8 | 7 | in line |
| 22 Jun 2023 07:00 | Jun. 2023 | 7 | 7 | 7 | in line |
| 11 May 2023 07:00 | May. 2023 | 7 | 7 | 7 | in line |
| 23 Mar 2023 08:00 | Mar. 2023 | 7 | 6 | 7 | above |
| 2 Feb 2023 07:00 | Feb. 2023 | 7 | 7 | 7 | in line |
| 15 Dec 2022 07:00 | Dec. 2022 | 7 | 9 | 9 | below |
| 3 Nov 2022 08:00 | Nov. 2022 | 9 | 9 | 9 | in line |
| 22 Sept 2022 07:00 | Sep. 2022 | 9 | 9 | 9 | in line |
| 4 Aug 2022 07:00 | Aug. 2022 | 9 | 9 | 9 | in line |
| 16 Jun 2022 07:00 | Jun. 2022 | 9 | 9 | 9 | in line |
| 5 May 2022 07:00 | May. 2022 | 9 | 8 | 8 | above |
| 17 Mar 2022 08:00 | Mar. 2022 | 8 | 9 | 9 | below |
| 3 Feb 2022 07:00 | Feb. 2022 | 9 | 9 | 8 | in line |
| 16 Dec 2021 07:00 | Dec. 2021 | 8 | 2 | 2 | above |
| 4 Nov 2021 08:00 | Nov. 2021 | 2 | 3 | 0 | below |
| 23 Sept 2021 07:00 | Sep. 2021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 5 Aug 2021 07:00 | Aug. 2021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 24 Jun 2021 07:00 | Jun. 2021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 6 May 2021 07:00 | May. 2021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 18 Mar 2021 08:00 | Mar. 2021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 4 Feb 2021 07:00 | Feb. 2021 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 17 Dec 2020 07:00 | Dec. 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 5 Nov 2020 02:00 | Nov. 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 17 Sept 2020 07:00 | Sep. 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 6 Aug 2020 02:00 | Aug. 2020 | 0 | 0 | – | in line |
| 18 Jun 2020 07:00 | Jun. 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 7 May 2020 02:00 | May. 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 26 Mar 2020 08:00 | Mar. 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 30 Jan 2020 07:00 | Jan. 2020 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 19 Dec 2019 07:00 | Dec. 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 7 Nov 2019 07:00 | Nov. 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 19 Sept 2019 07:00 | Sep. 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 1 Aug 2019 07:00 | Aug. 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 20 Jun 2019 07:00 | Jun. 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 2 May 2019 07:00 | May. 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 21 Mar 2019 08:00 | Mar. 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 7 Feb 2019 07:00 | Feb. 2019 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 20 Dec 2018 07:00 | Dec. 2018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 1 Nov 2018 08:00 | Nov. 2018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 13 Sept 2018 07:00 | Sep. 2018 | 0 | 0 | 9 | in line |
| 2 Aug 2018 07:00 | Aug. 2018 | 9 | 7 | 3 | above |
| 21 Jun 2018 07:00 | Jun. 2018 | 3 | 2 | 2 | above |
| 10 May 2018 07:00 | May. 2018 | 2 | 2 | 2 | in line |
| 22 Mar 2018 08:00 | Mar. 2018 | 2 | 0 | 0 | above |
| 8 Feb 2018 07:00 | Feb. 2018 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 14 Dec 2017 07:00 | Dec. 2017 | 0 | 0 | – | in line |
| 2 Nov 2017 08:00 | Nov. 2017 | 7 | 6 | 2 | above |
| 14 Sept 2017 07:00 | Sep. 2017 | 2 | 2 | 2 | in line |
| 3 Aug 2017 07:00 | Aug. 2017 | 2 | 2 | 3 | in line |
| 15 Jun 2017 07:00 | Jun. 2017 | 3 | 1 | 1 | above |
| 11 May 2017 07:00 | May. 2017 | 1 | 1 | 0 | in line |
| 16 Mar 2017 08:00 | Mar. 2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 2 Feb 2017 07:05 | Feb. 2017 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 15 Dec 2016 07:00 | Dec. 2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 3 Nov 2016 08:00 | Nov. 2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 15 Sept 2016 07:00 | Sep. 2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 4 Aug 2016 07:00 | Aug. 2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 14 Jul 2016 07:00 | Jul. 2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 16 Jun 2016 07:00 | Jun. 2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 12 May 2016 07:00 | May. 2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 14 Apr 2016 07:00 | Apr. 2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 17 Mar 2016 08:00 | Mar. 2016 | 0 | 0 | 0 | in line |
| 4 Feb 2016 07:00 | Feb. 2016 | 0 | 1 | 1 | below |
| 14 Jan 2016 07:00 | Jan. 2016 | 1 | 1 | 1 | in line |
The last UK BoE MPC Vote Hike (Nov. 2026, released 5 Nov 2026) came in at 9, above the 7 forecast; the previous reading was 3.
UK BoE MPC Vote Hike is released every 6–8 weeks by Central Bank. CRTLAB has 90 releases on record since 14 Jan 2016.
Since 2016, UK BoE MPC Vote Hike has come in above forecast 12% of the time and below 7% (89 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 17%.
The highest was 9 (Nov. 2026) and the lowest 0 (Mar. 2026). The five-year average is 3.58.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the GBP, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the GBP against its forecast, red one that was bad.
Interest rates are set by the Banks Monetary Policy Committee. The MPC sets andinterest rate it judges will enable the inflation target to be met.