Next release Monday, 16 November 2026, 21:00 New York. Every release since 6 Nov 2020: 24 on record, actual against forecast. Medium impact for the NZD. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last NZ RBNZ Inflation Expectations 1 Year (Q3 2026, released 13 Aug 2026) came in at 2.6%; the previous reading was 3.41%. The next NZ RBNZ Inflation Expectations 1 Year is due Monday, 16 November 2026 at 21:00 New York time (Q4 2026).
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug 2026 23:00 | Q3 2026 | 2.6% | – | 3.41% | – |
| 13 May 2026 23:00 | Q2 2026 | 3.41% | – | 2.59% | – |
| 13 Feb 2026 21:00 | Q1 2026 | 2.59% | – | 2.39% | – |
| 11 Nov 2025 21:00 | Q4 2025 | 2.39% | – | 2.37% | – |
| 7 Aug 2025 23:00 | Q3 2025 | 2.37% | – | 2.41% | – |
| 16 May 2025 23:00 | Q2 2025 | 2.41% | – | 2.15% | – |
| 13 Feb 2025 21:00 | Q1 2025 | 2.15% | – | 2.05% | – |
| 11 Nov 2024 21:00 | Q4 2024 | 2.05% | – | 2.4% | – |
| 8 Aug 2024 23:00 | Q3 2024 | 2.4% | – | 2.73% | – |
| 13 May 2024 23:00 | Q2 2024 | 2.73% | – | 3.22% | – |
| 13 Feb 2024 21:00 | Q1 2024 | 3.22% | – | 3.6% | – |
| 8 Nov 2023 21:00 | Q4 2023 | 3.6% | – | 4.17% | – |
| 9 Aug 2023 23:00 | Q3 2023 | 4.17% | – | 4.28% | – |
| 12 May 2023 23:00 | Q2 2023 | 4.28% | – | 5.11% | – |
| 14 Feb 2023 21:00 | Q1 2023 | 5.11% | – | 5.08% | – |
| 8 Nov 2022 21:00 | Q4 2022 | 5.08% | – | 4.86% | – |
| 8 Aug 2022 23:00 | Q3 2022 | 4.86% | – | 4.88% | – |
| 12 May 2022 23:00 | Q2 2022 | 4.88% | – | 4.4% | – |
| 11 Feb 2022 21:00 | Q1 2022 | 4.4% | – | 3.7% | – |
| 18 Nov 2021 21:00 | Q4 2021 | 3.7% | – | 3.02% | – |
| 6 Aug 2021 22:00 | Q3 2021 | 3.02% | – | 1.87% | – |
| 7 May 2021 22:00 | Q2 2021 | 1.87% | – | 1.73% | – |
| 9 Feb 2021 21:00 | Q1 2021 | 1.73% | – | 1.23% | – |
| 6 Nov 2020 21:00 | Q4 2020 | 1.23% | – | 1.03% | – |
The next NZ RBNZ Inflation Expectations 1 Year is due Monday, 16 November 2026 at 21:00 New York time (Q4 2026).
The last NZ RBNZ Inflation Expectations 1 Year (Q3 2026, released 13 Aug 2026) came in at 2.6%; the previous reading was 3.41%.
NZ RBNZ Inflation Expectations 1 Year is released quarterly by Reserve Bank. CRTLAB has 24 releases on record since 6 Nov 2020.
The highest was 5.11% (Q1 2023) and the lowest 1.23% (Q4 2020). The five-year average is 3.42%.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the NZD, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the NZD against its forecast, red one that was bad.