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UK CPI: next release & how markets react

Every UK CPI (inflation) release measured across gold, indices, forex and oil from 1-minute bars. Dates for every release: economic calendar.

Next UK CPI

From the official calendars
Wednesday, 18 November 202602:00 New York
Covers
Oct. 2026
Consensus
–
Previous
3.5%
Replay the last UK CPI on GBPUSD →

First hour after UK CPI

Average of the last 24 · share of a normal day
MarketFirst hour vs a normal dayReversedSwept a level
GBPUSD49%2 of 248 of 24
EURUSD20%7 of 243 of 24
AUDUSD18%8 of 242 of 24
USDJPY17%11 of 241 of 24
Silver16%10 of 244 of 24
Oil16%9 of 241 of 24
Bitcoin15%9 of 241 of 24
Ethereum14%8 of 242 of 24
NAS10012%9 of 244 of 24
S&P 50011%7 of 244 of 24
US3010%8 of 243 of 24
Gold0%8 of 241 of 24

Actual vs forecast

Last 12
Oct. 2025: actual 3.6%, forecast 3.6%3.6%Nov ’25Nov. 2025: actual 3.2%, forecast 3.5%3.2%Dec ’25Dec. 2025: actual 3.4%, forecast 3.3%3.4%Jan ’26Jan. 2026: actual 3%, forecast 3%3%Feb ’26Feb. 2026: actual 3%, forecast 3%3%Mar ’26Mar. 2026: actual 3.3%, forecast 3.3%3.3%Apr ’26Apr. 2026: actual 2.8%, forecast 3%2.8%May ’26May. 2026: actual 2.8%, forecast 3%2.8%Jun ’26Jun. 2026: actual 2.6%, forecast 2.7%2.6%Jul ’26Jul. 2026: actual 2.9%, forecast 2.9%2.9%Aug ’26Aug. 2026: actual 3.1%, forecast 3.1%3.1%Sept ’26Sep. 2026: actual 3.5%, forecast 3.4%3.5%Oct ’26

Green beat the forecast, red missed. The line is the forecast.

Every UK CPI release

95 measured
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 26 pips in the first hour — 34% of a normal dayWednesday, 21 October 2026 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 31 pips in the first hour — 50% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 August 2026 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 23 pips in the first hour — 30% of a normal dayWednesday, 22 July 2026 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 84 pips in the first hour — 121% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 June 2026 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 30 pips in the first hour — 33% of a normal dayWednesday, 20 May 2026 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 15 pips in the first hour — 16% of a normal dayWednesday, 22 April 2026 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 26 pips in the first hour — 21% of a normal dayWednesday, 25 March 2026 · 03:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 23 pips in the first hour — 31% of a normal dayWednesday, 21 January 2026 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 62 pips in the first hour — 76% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 December 2025 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 25 pips in the first hour — 31% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 November 2025 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 35 pips in the first hour — 41% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 September 2025 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 29.5 pips in the first hour — 34% of a normal dayWednesday, 20 August 2025 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 34 pips in the first hour — 36% of a normal dayWednesday, 16 July 2025 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 45 pips in the first hour — 44% of a normal dayWednesday, 21 May 2025 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 45 pips in the first hour — 37% of a normal dayWednesday, 16 April 2025 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 39.5 pips in the first hour — 48% of a normal dayWednesday, 26 March 2025 · 03:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 27 pips in the first hour — 27% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 February 2025 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 80.5 pips in the first hour — 73% of a normal dayWednesday, 15 January 2025 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 56.5 pips in the first hour — 65% of a normal dayWednesday, 18 December 2024 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 89 pips in the first hour — 96% of a normal dayWednesday, 16 October 2024 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 24 pips in the first hour — 29% of a normal dayWednesday, 18 September 2024 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 54 pips in the first hour — 73% of a normal dayWednesday, 14 August 2024 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 37.5 pips in the first hour — 52% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 June 2024 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 51 pips in the first hour — 74% of a normal dayWednesday, 22 May 2024 · 02:00 New York
Show all 95
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 55.5 pips in the first hour — 68% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 April 2024 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 52 pips in the first hour — 63% of a normal dayWednesday, 14 February 2024 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 51 pips in the first hour — 57% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 January 2024 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 63 pips in the first hour — 63% of a normal dayWednesday, 20 December 2023 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 38 pips in the first hour — 41% of a normal dayWednesday, 18 October 2023 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 54 pips in the first hour — 61% of a normal dayWednesday, 20 September 2023 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 31 pips in the first hour — 29% of a normal dayWednesday, 16 August 2023 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 105 pips in the first hour — 113% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 July 2023 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 46 pips in the first hour — 47% of a normal dayWednesday, 21 June 2023 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 36 pips in the first hour — 39% of a normal dayWednesday, 24 May 2023 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 48 pips in the first hour — 39% of a normal dayWednesday, 22 March 2023 · 03:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 61 pips in the first hour — 51% of a normal dayWednesday, 15 February 2023 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 45 pips in the first hour — 34% of a normal dayWednesday, 18 January 2023 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 66 pips in the first hour — 33% of a normal dayWednesday, 16 November 2022 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 62 pips in the first hour — 24% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 October 2022 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 38 pips in the first hour — 30% of a normal dayWednesday, 14 September 2022 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 41.5 pips in the first hour — 32% of a normal dayWednesday, 20 July 2022 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 31 pips in the first hour — 22% of a normal dayWednesday, 22 June 2022 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 62 pips in the first hour — 44% of a normal dayWednesday, 18 May 2022 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 31 pips in the first hour — 26% of a normal dayWednesday, 23 March 2022 · 03:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 12 pips in the first hour — 14% of a normal dayWednesday, 16 February 2022 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 32 pips in the first hour — 40% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 January 2022 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 35 pips in the first hour — 39% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 November 2021 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 27 pips in the first hour — 27% of a normal dayWednesday, 20 October 2021 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 20.5 pips in the first hour — 27% of a normal dayWednesday, 15 September 2021 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 31 pips in the first hour — 31% of a normal dayWednesday, 14 July 2021 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 36 pips in the first hour — 41% of a normal dayWednesday, 16 June 2021 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 22 pips in the first hour — 25% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 May 2021 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 45 pips in the first hour — 39% of a normal dayWednesday, 24 March 2021 · 03:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 17 pips in the first hour — 19% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 February 2021 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 18 pips in the first hour — 14% of a normal dayWednesday, 20 January 2021 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 20 pips in the first hour — 16% of a normal dayWednesday, 18 November 2020 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 25 pips in the first hour — 21% of a normal dayWednesday, 21 October 2020 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 12 pips in the first hour — 8% of a normal dayWednesday, 16 September 2020 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 27 pips in the first hour — 26% of a normal dayWednesday, 15 July 2020 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 33 pips in the first hour — 27% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 June 2020 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 43 pips in the first hour — 36% of a normal dayWednesday, 20 May 2020 · 02:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 33 pips in the first hour — 14% of a normal dayWednesday, 25 March 2020 · 03:00 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 45 pips in the first hour — 49% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 February 2020 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 27 pips in the first hour — 26% of a normal dayWednesday, 13 November 2019 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 92 pips in the first hour — 74% of a normal dayWednesday, 16 October 2019 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 23.5 pips in the first hour — 21% of a normal dayWednesday, 18 September 2019 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 16 pips in the first hour — 21% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 July 2019 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 22 pips in the first hour — 30% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 June 2019 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 22 pips in the first hour — 26% of a normal dayWednesday, 22 May 2019 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 21 pips in the first hour — 19% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 April 2019 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 22 pips in the first hour — 17% of a normal dayWednesday, 20 March 2019 · 05:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 18 pips in the first hour — 18% of a normal dayWednesday, 13 February 2019 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 23 pips in the first hour — 19% of a normal dayWednesday, 19 December 2018 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 30 pips in the first hour — 26% of a normal dayWednesday, 14 November 2018 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 29.5 pips in the first hour — 27% of a normal dayWednesday, 17 October 2018 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 25 pips in the first hour — 27% of a normal dayWednesday, 15 August 2018 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 52 pips in the first hour — 50% of a normal dayWednesday, 18 July 2018 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 28 pips in the first hour — 32% of a normal dayWednesday, 13 June 2018 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 102 pips in the first hour — 104% of a normal dayWednesday, 18 April 2018 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 35.5 pips in the first hour — 33% of a normal dayTuesday, 20 March 2018 · 05:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 29 pips in the first hour — 32% of a normal dayTuesday, 16 January 2018 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 70 pips in the first hour — 66% of a normal dayTuesday, 12 December 2017 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 45 pips in the first hour — 41% of a normal dayTuesday, 14 November 2017 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 79.5 pips in the first hour — 98% of a normal dayTuesday, 12 September 2017 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 43 pips in the first hour — 48% of a normal dayTuesday, 15 August 2017 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 58 pips in the first hour — 62% of a normal dayTuesday, 18 July 2017 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 84 pips in the first hour — 92% of a normal dayTuesday, 16 May 2017 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 38 pips in the first hour — 37% of a normal dayTuesday, 11 April 2017 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 55 pips in the first hour — 55% of a normal dayTuesday, 21 March 2017 · 05:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 75 pips in the first hour — 61% of a normal dayTuesday, 17 January 2017 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 35 pips in the first hour — 27% of a normal dayTuesday, 13 December 2016 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 55.5 pips in the first hour — 44% of a normal dayTuesday, 15 November 2016 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 53 pips in the first hour — 45% of a normal dayTuesday, 13 September 2016 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 61 pips in the first hour — 45% of a normal dayTuesday, 16 August 2016 · 04:30 New York
  • UK CPI: GBPUSD moved 43 pips in the first hour — 20% of a normal dayTuesday, 19 July 2016 · 04:30 New York

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Frequently asked questions

When is the next UK CPI release?

The next UK CPI (inflation) release is on Wednesday, 18 November 2026, at 02:00 New York (07:00 UTC), covering Oct. 2026. Previous 3.5%.

Which market moves most on UK CPI?

Across 24 UK CPI releases measured, GBPUSD moved most in the first hour relative to its normal day (49% of an average day's range), then EURUSD (20%) and AUDUSD (18%).

Does the first move after UK CPI hold?

GBPUSD: reversed within the hour 2 of 24 times; EURUSD: reversed within the hour 7 of 24 times; AUDUSD: reversed within the hour 8 of 24 times; USDJPY: reversed within the hour 11 of 24 times.

How can I practise trading UK CPI?

Open a past UK CPI day on CRTLAB and replay it candle by candle with your own entry, stop and target. Free every day, in the browser.

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