CRTLAB
CalendarMarketsNewsToolsPricing
Log inOpen chart
CRTLAB/News days/RBA

RBA: next release & how markets react

Every RBA rate decision release measured across gold, indices, forex and oil from 1-minute bars. Dates for every release: economic calendar.

Next RBA

From the official calendars
Monday, 7 December 202622:30 New York
Covers
Dec. 2026
Consensus
–
Previous
4.85%
Replay the last RBA on AUDUSD →

First hour after RBA

Average of the last 24 · share of a normal day
MarketFirst hour vs a normal dayReversedSwept a level
AUDUSD55%4 of 2416 of 24
GBPUSD17%8 of 243 of 24
USDJPY16%12 of 245 of 24
EURUSD15%8 of 242 of 24
Silver14%8 of 245 of 24
Bitcoin13%6 of 162 of 16
Ethereum12%5 of 162 of 16
NAS1009%6 of 241 of 24
S&P 5009%8 of 241 of 24
Oil8%8 of 241 of 24
US308%11 of 241 of 24
Gold0%10 of 244 of 24

Actual vs forecast

Last 9
Nov. 2025: actual 3.6%, forecast 3.6%3.6%Nov ’25Dec. 2025: actual 3.6%, forecast 3.6%3.6%Dec ’25Feb. 2026: actual 3.85%, forecast 3.85%3.85%Feb ’26Mar. 2026: actual 4.1%, forecast 4.1%4.1%Mar ’26May. 2026: actual 4.35%, forecast 4.35%4.35%May ’26Jun. 2026: actual 4.35%, forecast 4.35%4.35%Jun ’26Aug. 2026: actual 4.35%, forecast 4.35%4.35%Aug ’26Sep. 2026: actual 4.6%, forecast 4.6%4.6%Sept ’26Nov. 2026: actual 4.85%, forecast 4.85%4.85%Nov ’26

Green beat the forecast, red missed. The line is the forecast.

Every RBA release

43 measured
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 21.5 pips in the first hour — 46% of a normal dayTuesday, 11 August 2026 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 27.5 pips in the first hour — 42% of a normal dayTuesday, 5 May 2026 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 22 pips in the first hour — 45% of a normal dayTuesday, 30 September 2025 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 20 pips in the first hour — 39% of a normal dayTuesday, 12 August 2025 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 45.5 pips in the first hour — 78% of a normal dayTuesday, 8 July 2025 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 21.5 pips in the first hour — 29% of a normal dayTuesday, 20 May 2025 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 19.5 pips in the first hour — 35% of a normal dayTuesday, 24 September 2024 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 21 pips in the first hour — 40% of a normal dayTuesday, 6 August 2024 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 17 pips in the first hour — 31% of a normal dayTuesday, 18 June 2024 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 29.5 pips in the first hour — 48% of a normal dayTuesday, 7 May 2024 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 13.5 pips in the first hour — 21% of a normal dayTuesday, 5 September 2023 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 38.5 pips in the first hour — 57% of a normal dayTuesday, 4 July 2023 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 56 pips in the first hour — 89% of a normal dayTuesday, 6 June 2023 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 80 pips in the first hour — 120% of a normal dayTuesday, 2 May 2023 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 57 pips in the first hour — 65% of a normal dayTuesday, 2 August 2022 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 34 pips in the first hour — 36% of a normal dayTuesday, 5 July 2022 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 84 pips in the first hour — 100% of a normal dayTuesday, 7 June 2022 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 65.5 pips in the first hour — 74% of a normal dayTuesday, 3 May 2022 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 71.5 pips in the first hour — 98% of a normal dayTuesday, 5 April 2022 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 56.5 pips in the first hour — 92% of a normal dayTuesday, 7 September 2021 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 28.5 pips in the first hour — 49% of a normal dayTuesday, 6 July 2021 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 23 pips in the first hour — 35% of a normal dayTuesday, 1 June 2021 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 19 pips in the first hour — 28% of a normal dayTuesday, 4 May 2021 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 14.5 pips in the first hour — 22% of a normal dayTuesday, 1 September 2020 · 00:30 New York
Show all 43
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 15 pips in the first hour — 16% of a normal dayTuesday, 7 July 2020 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 24 pips in the first hour — 28% of a normal dayTuesday, 2 June 2020 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 40 pips in the first hour — 22% of a normal dayTuesday, 7 April 2020 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 57 pips in the first hour — 135% of a normal dayTuesday, 1 October 2019 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 30 pips in the first hour — 68% of a normal dayTuesday, 2 July 2019 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 27 pips in the first hour — 67% of a normal dayTuesday, 4 June 2019 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 68 pips in the first hour — 143% of a normal dayTuesday, 7 May 2019 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 45 pips in the first hour — 69% of a normal dayTuesday, 4 September 2018 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 12 pips in the first hour — 19% of a normal dayTuesday, 7 August 2018 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 18.5 pips in the first hour — 30% of a normal dayTuesday, 3 July 2018 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 13.5 pips in the first hour — 25% of a normal dayTuesday, 1 May 2018 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 12 pips in the first hour — 18% of a normal dayTuesday, 3 April 2018 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 28 pips in the first hour — 43% of a normal dayTuesday, 5 September 2017 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 43 pips in the first hour — 59% of a normal dayTuesday, 1 August 2017 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 70.5 pips in the first hour — 143% of a normal dayTuesday, 4 July 2017 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 19 pips in the first hour — 35% of a normal dayTuesday, 2 May 2017 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 31 pips in the first hour — 53% of a normal dayTuesday, 4 April 2017 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 21 pips in the first hour — 31% of a normal dayTuesday, 6 September 2016 · 00:30 New York
  • RBA: AUDUSD moved 59 pips in the first hour — 70% of a normal dayTuesday, 2 August 2016 · 00:30 New York

Trade the next release before it happens

Replay any news day candle by candle on CRTLAB, place your trade, and see how it would have played out. Free every day.

Open the chart →

Frequently asked questions

When is the next RBA release?

The next RBA rate decision release is on Monday, 7 December 2026, at 22:30 New York (03:30 UTC), covering Dec. 2026. Previous 4.85%.

Which market moves most on RBA?

Across 24 RBA releases measured, AUDUSD moved most in the first hour relative to its normal day (55% of an average day's range), then GBPUSD (17%) and USDJPY (16%).

Does the first move after RBA hold?

AUDUSD: reversed within the hour 4 of 24 times; GBPUSD: reversed within the hour 8 of 24 times; USDJPY: reversed within the hour 12 of 24 times; EURUSD: reversed within the hour 8 of 24 times.

How can I practise trading RBA?

Open a past RBA day on CRTLAB and replay it candle by candle with your own entry, stop and target. Free every day, in the browser.

CRTLAB

Replay real market history candle by candle, trade it as it forms, and find out what your strategy is actually worth.

Version
v1.11.0
Last updated
7 Nov 2026
Email us
crtlab@proton.me
Based in
United Kingdom

Product

  • Features
  • Pricing
  • FAQ
  • Prop firm simulator
  • Measured answers
  • Economic calendar
  • News days
  • Market recaps
More
  • Blog
  • Backtesting software
  • Market replay
  • Reference
  • Candle-by-candle replay
  • Prop firm practice
  • Two synced charts
  • Real volume

Free tools

  • Futures tick value calculator
  • Best time to trade
  • Position size calculator
  • Risk/reward calculator
  • Margin & leverage calculator
  • Pip calculator
  • Compounding calculator
  • Prop firm challenge calculator
More
  • Backtest sample size calculator
  • Profit factor calculator
  • Risk of ruin calculator
  • Fibonacci calculator
  • Pivot point calculator
  • Drawdown recovery calculator
  • Average daily range
  • CRT statistics
  • Asian range statistics
  • PDH / PDL statistics
  • FVG statistics
  • Volume profile statistics
  • Order block statistics
  • Session & kill zone times

Backtest

  • NAS100
  • US30 (Dow)
  • Gold (XAUUSD)
  • Bitcoin (BTCUSD)
  • DAX (GER40)
  • WTI crude
  • Forex
  • All markets & concepts

Strategy

  • CRT backtester
  • Footprint chart
  • SMT divergence
  • Volume profile
  • ICT backtesting
  • SMC backtesting
  • FVG backtester
  • Order block backtester
More
  • Liquidity sweep backtester
  • Market structure backtester
  • Order flow

Company

  • Log in
  • Terms
  • Privacy
  • Refunds
  • Risk disclaimer
  • Partnerships
  • Site map
Market data provided byDatabentoTradingViewDatabento for futures, forex and stocks · charts by TradingView
CRTLAB
© 2026 CRTLAB. All rights reserved.Not financial advice. Past results do not guarantee future results.