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BoJ: next release & how markets react

Every Bank of Japan rate decision release measured across gold, indices, forex and oil from 1-minute bars. Dates for every release: economic calendar.

First hour after BoJ

Average of the last 8 · share of a normal day
MarketFirst hour vs a normal dayReversedSwept a level
USDJPY24%1 of 81 of 8
AUDUSD14%3 of 81 of 8
EURUSD10%1 of 80 of 8
GBPUSD10%3 of 80 of 8
Silver9%6 of 80 of 8
NAS1008%1 of 80 of 8

Every BoJ release

8 measured
  • BoJ: USDJPY moved 76 pips in the first hour — 118% of a normal dayTuesday, 31 July 2018 · 00:00 New York
  • BoJ: USDJPY moved 5.52 pips in the first hour — 8% of a normal dayFriday, 15 June 2018 · 00:00 New York
  • BoJ: USDJPY moved 6.52 pips in the first hour — 10% of a normal dayFriday, 27 April 2018 · 00:00 New York
  • BoJ: USDJPY moved 6.38 pips in the first hour — 9% of a normal dayTuesday, 31 October 2017 · 00:00 New York
  • BoJ: USDJPY moved 11.57 pips in the first hour — 14% of a normal dayThursday, 20 July 2017 · 00:00 New York
  • BoJ: USDJPY moved 8.35 pips in the first hour — 10% of a normal dayFriday, 16 June 2017 · 00:00 New York
  • BoJ: USDJPY moved 11.71 pips in the first hour — 13% of a normal dayThursday, 27 April 2017 · 00:00 New York
  • BoJ: USDJPY moved 8.29 pips in the first hour — 9% of a normal dayThursday, 16 March 2017 · 00:00 New York

Trade the next release before it happens

Replay any news day candle by candle on CRTLAB, place your trade, and see how it would have played out. Free every day.

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Frequently asked questions

Which market moves most on BoJ?

Across 8 BoJ releases measured, USDJPY moved most in the first hour relative to its normal day (24% of an average day's range), then AUDUSD (14%) and EURUSD (10%).

Does the first move after BoJ hold?

USDJPY: reversed within the hour 1 of 8 times; AUDUSD: reversed within the hour 3 of 8 times; EURUSD: reversed within the hour 1 of 8 times; GBPUSD: reversed within the hour 3 of 8 times.

How can I practise trading BoJ?

Open a past BoJ day on CRTLAB and replay it candle by candle with your own entry, stop and target. Free every day, in the browser.

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S&P 5008%6 of 80 of 8
US307%1 of 80 of 8
Oil6%2 of 80 of 8
Gold0%3 of 81 of 8

Actual vs forecast

Last 9
Oct. 30, 2025: actual 0.5%, forecast 0.5%0.5%Oct ’25Dec. 22, 2025: actual 0.75%0.75%Dec ’25Jan. 23, 2026: actual 0.75%, forecast 0.75%0.75%Jan ’26Mar. 19, 2026: actual 0.75%, forecast 0.75%0.75%Mar ’26Apr. 28, 2026: actual 0.75%, forecast 0.75%0.75%Apr ’26Jun. 17, 2026: actual 1%1%Jun ’26Jul. 31, 2026: actual 1%, forecast 1%1%Jul ’26Sep. 24, 2026: actual 1.25%1.25%Sept ’26Oct. 30, 2026: actual 1.25%, forecast 1.25%1.25%Oct ’26

Green beat the forecast, red missed. The line is the forecast.

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