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BoE: next release & how markets react

Every Bank of England rate decision release measured across gold, indices, forex and oil from 1-minute bars. Dates for every release: economic calendar.

First hour after BoE

Average of the last 24 · share of a normal day
MarketFirst hour vs a normal dayReversedSwept a level
GBPUSD63%4 of 245 of 24
USDJPY33%12 of 241 of 24
EURUSD27%10 of 240 of 24
Silver22%9 of 241 of 24
AUDUSD21%5 of 241 of 24
S&P 50019%6 of 24

Every BoE release

65 measured
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 32 pips in the first hour — 42% of a normal dayThursday, 30 July 2026 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 29 pips in the first hour — 39% of a normal dayThursday, 18 June 2026 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 27 pips in the first hour — 32% of a normal dayThursday, 30 April 2026 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 35 pips in the first hour — 34% of a normal dayThursday, 19 March 2026 · 08:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 58 pips in the first hour — 71% of a normal dayThursday, 18 December 2025 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 46 pips in the first hour — 55% of a normal dayThursday, 6 November 2025 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 48 pips in the first hour — 55% of a normal dayThursday, 18 September 2025 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 57 pips in the first hour — 62% of a normal dayThursday, 7 August 2025 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 93 pips in the first hour — 84% of a normal dayThursday, 8 May 2025 · 07:02 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 30.5 pips in the first hour — 37% of a normal dayThursday, 20 March 2025 · 08:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 73 pips in the first hour — 65% of a normal dayThursday, 6 February 2025 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 49 pips in the first hour — 54% of a normal dayThursday, 19 December 2024 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 54 pips in the first hour — 64% of a normal dayThursday, 19 September 2024 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 54 pips in the first hour — 96% of a normal dayThursday, 1 August 2024 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 29 pips in the first hour — 41% of a normal day

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Frequently asked questions

Which market moves most on BoE?

Across 24 BoE releases measured, GBPUSD moved most in the first hour relative to its normal day (63% of an average day's range), then USDJPY (33%) and EURUSD (27%).

Does the first move after BoE hold?

GBPUSD: reversed within the hour 4 of 24 times; USDJPY: reversed within the hour 12 of 24 times; EURUSD: reversed within the hour 10 of 24 times; Silver: reversed within the hour 9 of 24 times.

How can I practise trading BoE?

Open a past BoE day on CRTLAB and replay it candle by candle with your own entry, stop and target. Free every day, in the browser.

CRTLAB

Replay real market history candle by candle, trade it as it forms, and find out what your strategy is actually worth.

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0 of 24
Oil19%8 of 241 of 24
US3018%8 of 240 of 24
NAS10018%8 of 240 of 24
Bitcoin17%9 of 241 of 24
Ethereum17%9 of 240 of 24
Gold0%8 of 240 of 24

Actual vs forecast

Last 9
Nov. 2025: actual 4%, forecast 4%4%Nov ’25Dec. 2025: actual 3.75%, forecast 3.75%3.75%Dec ’25Feb. 2026: actual 3.75%, forecast 3.75%3.75%Feb ’26Mar. 2026: actual 3.75%, forecast 3.75%3.75%Mar ’26Apr. 2026: actual 3.75%, forecast 3.75%3.75%Apr ’26Jun. 2026: actual 3.75%, forecast 3.75%3.75%Jun ’26Jul. 2026: actual 3.75%, forecast 3.75%3.75%Jul ’26Sep. 2026: actual 3.75%, forecast 3.75%3.75%Sept ’26Nov. 2026: actual 4%, forecast 4%4%Nov ’26

Green beat the forecast, red missed. The line is the forecast.

Thursday, 20 June 2024 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 41 pips in the first hour — 52% of a normal dayThursday, 9 May 2024 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 53 pips in the first hour — 65% of a normal dayThursday, 1 February 2024 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 75 pips in the first hour — 86% of a normal dayThursday, 14 December 2023 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 42 pips in the first hour — 46% of a normal dayThursday, 2 November 2023 · 08:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 70 pips in the first hour — 81% of a normal dayThursday, 21 September 2023 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 131 pips in the first hour — 133% of a normal dayThursday, 22 June 2023 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 46 pips in the first hour — 50% of a normal dayThursday, 11 May 2023 · 07:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 72 pips in the first hour — 58% of a normal dayThursday, 23 March 2023 · 08:00 New York
  • BoE: GBPUSD moved 143 pips in the first hour — 116% of a normal dayThursday, 2 February 2023 · 07:00 New York
    • Show all 65
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 127 pips in the first hour — 67% of a normal dayThursday, 3 November 2022 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 87 pips in the first hour — 72% of a normal dayThursday, 22 September 2022 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 162 pips in the first hour — 125% of a normal dayThursday, 4 August 2022 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 140 pips in the first hour — 107% of a normal dayThursday, 16 June 2022 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 208 pips in the first hour — 183% of a normal dayThursday, 5 May 2022 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 113.5 pips in the first hour — 103% of a normal dayThursday, 17 March 2022 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 88 pips in the first hour — 112% of a normal dayThursday, 3 February 2022 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 108 pips in the first hour — 134% of a normal dayThursday, 4 November 2021 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 52 pips in the first hour — 68% of a normal dayThursday, 23 September 2021 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 79 pips in the first hour — 79% of a normal dayThursday, 24 June 2021 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 84 pips in the first hour — 94% of a normal dayThursday, 6 May 2021 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 48 pips in the first hour — 42% of a normal dayThursday, 18 March 2021 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 98.5 pips in the first hour — 98% of a normal dayThursday, 4 February 2021 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 104 pips in the first hour — 80% of a normal dayThursday, 5 November 2020 · 02:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 100 pips in the first hour — 71% of a normal dayThursday, 17 September 2020 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 66 pips in the first hour — 54% of a normal dayThursday, 18 June 2020 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 53 pips in the first hour — 44% of a normal dayThursday, 7 May 2020 · 02:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 72 pips in the first hour — 28% of a normal dayThursday, 26 March 2020 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 48 pips in the first hour — 54% of a normal dayThursday, 30 January 2020 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 53 pips in the first hour — 40% of a normal dayThursday, 7 November 2019 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 36 pips in the first hour — 32% of a normal dayThursday, 19 September 2019 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 33 pips in the first hour — 39% of a normal dayThursday, 1 August 2019 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 47 pips in the first hour — 62% of a normal dayThursday, 20 June 2019 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 48 pips in the first hour — 37% of a normal dayThursday, 21 March 2019 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 52 pips in the first hour — 46% of a normal dayThursday, 7 February 2019 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 34 pips in the first hour — 33% of a normal dayThursday, 1 November 2018 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 128 pips in the first hour — 130% of a normal dayThursday, 2 August 2018 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 94 pips in the first hour — 103% of a normal dayThursday, 21 June 2018 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 95 pips in the first hour — 86% of a normal dayThursday, 22 March 2018 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 38.5 pips in the first hour — 36% of a normal dayThursday, 14 December 2017 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 194 pips in the first hour — 182% of a normal dayThursday, 2 November 2017 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 189 pips in the first hour — 220% of a normal dayThursday, 14 September 2017 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 110 pips in the first hour — 123% of a normal dayThursday, 3 August 2017 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 103 pips in the first hour — 94% of a normal dayThursday, 15 June 2017 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 71 pips in the first hour — 78% of a normal dayThursday, 11 May 2017 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 108 pips in the first hour — 111% of a normal dayThursday, 16 March 2017 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 47 pips in the first hour — 36% of a normal dayThursday, 15 December 2016 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 90 pips in the first hour — 61% of a normal dayThursday, 3 November 2016 · 08:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 61 pips in the first hour — 52% of a normal dayThursday, 15 September 2016 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 250 pips in the first hour — 139% of a normal dayThursday, 4 August 2016 · 07:00 New York
    • BoE: GBPUSD moved 236 pips in the first hourThursday, 14 July 2016 · 07:00 New York
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