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CRTLAB/Economic calendar/United States/Goods Trade Balance

US Goods Trade Balance

Next release Friday, 27 November 2026, 08:30 New York. Every release since 29 Jan 2016: 239 on record, actual against forecast. Medium impact for the USD. Updated within the hour of each release.

Latest · Sep. 2026-$135.1Bno forecast · previous -$132.1B
Next release27 November 2026
Above forecast33%of 18 since 2016 · last 12: 25%
Range since 2016-$162B → -$56.08Blow Mar. 2025 · high Sep. 2016

The short answer

239 releases

The last US Goods Trade Balance (Sep. 2026, released 4 Nov 2026) came in at -$135.1B; the previous reading was -$132.1B. The next US Goods Trade Balance is due Friday, 27 November 2026 at 08:30 New York time (Oct. 2026 · advance).

Since 2016, US Goods Trade Balance has come in above forecast 33% of the time and below 67% (18 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 25%. It has now come in below forecast 5 releases in a row.

The average miss against forecast over the last 18 releases was 11.32$B: higher than expected is good for the USD.

Last 12 releases

bar = actual · line = forecast
Apr. 2026: actual -$82.4B, forecast -$86.5B-$82.4BMay ’26Apr. 2026: actual -$82.23B-$82.23BJun ’26May. 2026: actual -$105.8B, forecast -$85B-$105.8BJun ’26May. 2026: actual -$105.3B-$105.3BJul ’26Jun. 2026: actual -$101.5B, forecast -$100B-$101.5BJul ’26Jun. 2026: actual -$101.1B-$101.1BAug ’26Jul. 2026: actual -$118.8B, forecast -$100.5B-$118.8BAug ’26Jul. 2026: actual -$118.9B-$118.9BSept ’26Aug. 2026: actual -$132.6B, forecast -$115B-$132.6BSept ’26Aug. 2026: actual -$132.1B-$132.1BOct ’26Sep. 2026: actual -$134.9B, forecast -$130.2B-$134.9BOct ’26Sep. 2026: actual -$135.1B-$135.1BNov ’26

US Goods Trade Balance since 2016

239 releases
20182020202220242026

Every US Goods Trade Balance release

latest 120 of 239 · times New York
ReleasedPeriodActualForecastPreviousVs forecast
4 Nov 2026 08:30Sep. 2026-$135.1B–-$132.1B–
28 Oct 2026 08:30Sep. 2026 · advance-$134.9B-$130.2B-$132.6Bbelow
6 Oct 2026 08:30Aug. 2026-$132.1B–-$118.9B–
30 Sept 2026 08:30Aug. 2026 · advance-$132.6B-$115B-$118.8Bbelow
3 Sept 2026 08:30Jul. 2026-$118.9B–-$101.1B–
27 Aug 2026 08:30Jul. 2026 · advance-$118.8B-$100.5B-$101.5Bbelow
4 Aug 2026 08:30Jun. 2026-$101.1B–-$105.3B–
28 Jul 2026 08:30Jun. 2026 · advance-$101.5B-$100B-$105.8Bbelow
7 Jul 2026 08:30May. 2026-$105.3B–-$82.23B–
26 Jun 2026 08:30May. 2026 · advance-$105.8B-$85B-$82.4Bbelow
9 Jun 2026 08:30Apr. 2026-$82.23B–-$85.12B–
29 May 2026 08:30Apr. 2026 · advance-$82.4B-$86.5B-$87.87Babove
5 May 2026 08:30Mar. 2026-$85.12B–-$81.74B–
29 Apr 2026 08:30Mar. 2026 · advance-$87.87B-$86.95B–below
2 Apr 2026 08:30Feb. 2026-$81.74B–-$79.02B–
12 Mar 2026 08:30Jan. 2026-$79.02B–-$100.6B–
19 Feb 2026 08:30Dec. 2025 · advance-$98.5B-$86B–below
29 Jan 2026 08:30Nov. 2025-$86.83B–-$61.44B–
8 Jan 2026 08:30Oct. 2025-$61.44B–-$82.73B–
11 Dec 2025 08:30Sep. 2025-$82.73B–-$85.16B–
19 Nov 2025 08:30Aug. 2025-$85.16B–-$101.3B–
25 Sept 2025 08:30Aug. 2025 · advance-$85.54B-$95.2B-$103.6Babove
4 Sept 2025 08:30Jul. 2025-$101.3B–-$84.17B–
29 Aug 2025 08:30Jul. 2025 · advance-$103.6B-$89.45B-$85.99Bbelow
5 Aug 2025 08:30Jun. 2025-$84.17B–-$91.54B–
29 Jul 2025 08:30Jun. 2025 · advance-$85.99B-$98.2B-$96.59Babove
3 Jul 2025 08:30May. 2025-$91.54B–-$85.54B–
26 Jun 2025 08:30May. 2025 · advance-$96.59B-$88.5B-$87.62Bbelow
5 Jun 2025 08:30Apr. 2025-$85.54B–-$158.7B–
30 May 2025 08:30Apr. 2025 · advance-$87.62B-$143B-$162Babove
6 May 2025 08:30Mar. 2025-$158.7B–-$144.9B–
29 Apr 2025 08:30Mar. 2025 · advance-$162B–-$147.9B–
3 Apr 2025 08:30Feb. 2025-$144.9B–-$151.7B–
27 Mar 2025 08:30Feb. 2025 · advance-$147.9B–-$153.3B–
6 Mar 2025 08:30Jan. 2025-$151.7B–-$123.3B–
28 Feb 2025 08:30Jan. 2025 · advance-$153.3B–-$122.1B–
5 Feb 2025 08:30Dec. 2024-$123.3B–-$107.1B–
29 Jan 2025 08:30Dec. 2024 · advance-$122.1B–-$102.9B–
7 Jan 2025 08:30Nov. 2024-$107.1B–-$102.1B–
27 Dec 2024 08:30Nov. 2024 · advance-$102.9B-$100.7B-$99.08Bbelow
5 Dec 2024 08:30Oct. 2024-$102.1B–-$110B–
27 Nov 2024 08:30Oct. 2024 · advance-$99.08B–-$108.2B–
5 Nov 2024 08:30Sep. 2024-$110B–-$96.8B–
29 Oct 2024 08:30Sep. 2024 · advance-$108.2B–-$94.26B–
8 Oct 2024 08:30Aug. 2024-$96.8B–-$103.6B–
27 Sept 2024 08:30Aug. 2024 · advance-$94.26B–-$102.7B–
4 Sept 2024 08:30Jul. 2024-$103.6B–-$97.88B–
29 Aug 2024 08:30Jul. 2024 · advance-$102.7B–-$96.84B–
6 Aug 2024 08:30Jun. 2024-$97.88B–-$96.95B–
24 Jul 2024 08:30Jun. 2024 · advance-$96.84B–-$100.6B–
3 Jul 2024 08:30May. 2024-$96.95B–-$96.68B–
27 Jun 2024 08:30May. 2024 · advance-$100.6B–-$99.41B–
6 Jun 2024 08:30Apr. 2024-$96.68B–-$88.77B–
30 May 2024 08:30Apr. 2024 · advance-$99.41B–-$91.83B–
2 May 2024 08:30Mar. 2024-$88.77B–-$88.48B–
25 Apr 2024 08:30Mar. 2024 · advance-$91.83B–-$91.84B–
4 Apr 2024 08:30Feb. 2024-$88.48B–-$89.24B–
29 Mar 2024 08:30Feb. 2024 · advance-$91.84B–-$90.2B–
7 Mar 2024 08:30Jan. 2024-$89.24B–-$86.54B–
28 Feb 2024 08:30Jan. 2024 · advance-$90.2B–-$88.46B–
7 Feb 2024 08:30Dec. 2023-$86.54B–-$90.08B–
25 Jan 2024 08:30Dec. 2023 · advance-$88.46B–-$90.27B–
9 Jan 2024 08:30Nov. 2023-$90.08B–-$89.45B–
28 Dec 2023 08:30Nov. 2023 · advance-$90.27B–-$89.84B–
6 Dec 2023 08:30Oct. 2023-$89.45B–-$85.4B–
29 Nov 2023 08:30Oct. 2023 · advance-$89.84B–-$85.78B–
7 Nov 2023 08:30Sep. 2023-$85.4B–-$84.74B–
26 Oct 2023 08:30Sep. 2023 · advance-$85.78B–-$84.27B–
5 Oct 2023 08:30Aug. 2023-$84.74B–-$89.06B–
29 Sept 2023 08:30Aug. 2023 · advance-$84.27B–-$91.18B–
6 Sept 2023 08:30Jul. 2023-$89.06B–-$88.34B–
30 Aug 2023 08:30Jul. 2023 · advance-$91.18B–-$87.83B–
8 Aug 2023 08:30Jun. 2023-$88.34B–-$89.05B–
27 Jul 2023 08:30Jun. 2023 · advance-$87.83B–-$91.13B–
6 Jul 2023 08:30May. 2023-$89.05B–-$94.04B–
28 Jun 2023 08:30May. 2023 · advance-$91.13B–-$96.77B–
7 Jun 2023 08:30Apr. 2023-$94.04B–-$79.03B–
26 May 2023 08:30Apr. 2023 · advance-$96.77B-$85.7B-$84.58Bbelow
4 May 2023 08:30Mar. 2023-$79.03B–-$89.59B–
26 Apr 2023 08:30Mar. 2023 · advance-$84.58B-$89B-$91.63Babove
5 Apr 2023 08:30Feb. 2023-$89.59B–-$89.28B–
28 Mar 2023 08:30Feb. 2023 · advance-$91.63B-$91B-$91.5Bbelow
8 Mar 2023 08:30Jan. 2023-$89.28B–-$91.96B–
28 Feb 2023 08:30Jan. 2023 · advance-$91.5B–-$90.27B–
7 Feb 2023 08:30Dec. 2022-$91.96B–-$85.7B–
26 Jan 2023 08:30Dec. 2022 · advance-$90.27B–-$83.35B–
5 Jan 2023 08:30Nov. 2022-$85.7B–-$98.82B–
27 Dec 2022 08:30Nov. 2022 · advance-$83.35B–-$99B–
6 Dec 2022 08:30Oct. 2022-$98.82B–-$89.39B–
30 Nov 2022 08:30Oct. 2022 · advance-$99B–-$92.22B–
3 Nov 2022 08:30Sep. 2022-$89.39B–-$89.56B–
26 Oct 2022 08:30Sep. 2022 · advance-$92.22B–-$87.3B–
5 Oct 2022 08:30Aug. 2022-$89.56B–-$87.19B–
28 Sept 2022 08:30Aug. 2022 · advance-$87.3B–-$89.06B–
7 Sept 2022 08:30Jul. 2022-$87.19B–-$98.33B–
26 Aug 2022 08:30Jul. 2022 · advance-$89.06B–-$98.18B–
4 Aug 2022 08:30Jun. 2022-$98.33B–-$100.8B–
27 Jul 2022 08:30Jun. 2022 · advance-$98.18B–-$104.3B–
7 Jul 2022 08:30May. 2022-$100.8B–-$102.3B–
28 Jun 2022 08:30May. 2022 · advance-$104.3B–-$105.9B–
7 Jun 2022 08:30Apr. 2022-$102.3B–-$117.2B–
27 May 2022 08:30Apr. 2022 · advance-$105.9B–-$125.3B–
4 May 2022 08:30Mar. 2022-$117.2B–-$102.1B–
27 Apr 2022 08:30Mar. 2022 · advance-$125.3B–-$106.6B–
5 Apr 2022 08:30Feb. 2022-$102.1B–-$103.8B–
28 Mar 2022 08:30Feb. 2022 · advance-$106.6B–-$107.6B–
8 Mar 2022 08:30Jan. 2022-$103.8B–-$99.44B–
28 Feb 2022 08:30Jan. 2022 · advance-$107.6B–-$101B–
8 Feb 2022 08:30Dec. 2021-$99.44B–-$101.1B–
26 Jan 2022 08:30Dec. 2021 · advance-$101B–-$97.78B–
6 Jan 2022 08:30Nov. 2021-$101.1B–-$85.05B–
29 Dec 2021 08:30Nov. 2021 · advance-$97.78B–-$82.89B–
7 Dec 2021 08:30Oct. 2021-$85.05B–-$93.24B–
24 Nov 2021 08:30Oct. 2021 · advance-$82.89B–-$96.25B–
4 Nov 2021 08:30Sep. 2021-$93.24B–-$89.93B–
27 Oct 2021 08:30Sep. 2021 · advance-$96.25B–-$87.6B–
5 Oct 2021 08:30Aug. 2021-$89.93B–-$85.71B–
28 Sept 2021 08:30Aug. 2021 · advance-$87.6B–-$86.38B–
2 Sept 2021 08:30Jul. 2021-$85.71B–-$90.63B–
27 Aug 2021 08:30Jul. 2021 · advance-$86.38B–-$91.21B–

Next Goods Trade Balance

Friday, 27 November 202608:30 New York

Oct. 2026 · advance. Previous -$134.9B.

About

Measures
The United States has run uninterrupted trade deficits since 1976, driven largely by robust demand for imported industrial inputs, capital goods and consumer products. In 2025, trade flows were notably influenced by the introduction of new tariffs.
Good for USD
Actual higher than forecast
Released
Twice a month
Category
Trade
Source
Census Bureau

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Frequently asked questions

When is the next US Goods Trade Balance release?

The next US Goods Trade Balance is due Friday, 27 November 2026 at 08:30 New York time (Oct. 2026 · advance).

What was the last US Goods Trade Balance?

The last US Goods Trade Balance (Sep. 2026, released 4 Nov 2026) came in at -$135.1B; the previous reading was -$132.1B.

How often is US Goods Trade Balance released?

US Goods Trade Balance is released twice a month by Census Bureau. CRTLAB has 239 releases on record since 29 Jan 2016.

Does US Goods Trade Balance usually beat the forecast?

Since 2016, US Goods Trade Balance has come in above forecast 33% of the time and below 67% (18 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 25%. It has now come in below forecast 5 releases in a row.

What is the highest and lowest US Goods Trade Balance since 2016?

The highest was -$56.08B (Sep. 2016) and the lowest -$162B (Mar. 2025). The five-year average is -99.05$B.

Is a higher US Goods Trade Balance good for the USD?

Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the USD, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the USD against its forecast, red one that was bad.

What does US Goods Trade Balance measure?

The United States has run uninterrupted trade deficits since 1976, driven largely by robust demand for imported industrial inputs, capital goods and consumer products. In 2025, trade flows were notably influenced by the introduction of new tariffs.

Related indicators

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