Next release Thursday, 12 November 2026, 12:00 New York. Every release since 6 Jan 2016: 566 on record, actual against forecast. Medium impact for the USD. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (w/o Oct. 26, 2026, released 4 Nov 2026) came in at -0.865M, below the 1.75M forecast; the previous reading was -1.892M. The next US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change is due Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 12:00 New York time (w/o Nov. 2, 2026).
Since 2016, US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change has come in above forecast 50% of the time and below 50% (564 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 42%. It has now come in below forecast 5 releases in a row.
The average miss against forecast over the last 24 releases was 3.71M: lower than expected is good for the USD.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Nov 2026 10:30 | w/o Oct. 26, 2026 | -0.865M | 1.75M | -1.892M | below |
| 28 Oct 2026 10:30 | w/o Oct. 19, 2026 | -1.892M | 0.35M | -3.06M | below |
| 21 Oct 2026 10:30 | w/o Oct. 12, 2026 | -3.06M | -1.241M | -8.557M | below |
| 15 Oct 2026 12:00 | w/o Oct. 5, 2026 | -8.557M | -1.09M | -3.186M | below |
| 7 Oct 2026 10:30 | w/o Sep. 28, 2026 | -3.186M | 1.716M | 0.922M | below |
| 30 Sept 2026 10:30 | w/o Sep. 21, 2026 | 0.922M | 0.5M | 2.969M | above |
| 23 Sept 2026 10:30 | w/o Sep. 14, 2026 | 2.969M | -0.595M | -0.64M | above |
| 16 Sept 2026 10:30 | w/o Sep. 7, 2026 | -0.64M | -1.5M | -0.391M | above |
| 10 Sept 2026 12:00 | w/o Aug. 31, 2026 | -0.391M | -1.5M | -4.45M | above |
| 2 Sept 2026 10:30 | w/o Aug. 24, 2026 | -4.45M | -1.35M | 0.095M | below |
| 26 Aug 2026 10:30 | w/o Aug. 17, 2026 | 0.095M | 1.29M | 4.405M | below |
| 19 Aug 2026 10:30 | w/o Aug. 10, 2026 | 4.405M | -1.6M | 17.423M | above |
| 12 Aug 2026 10:30 | w/o Aug. 3, 2026 | 17.423M | -1.8M | 2.479M | above |
| 5 Aug 2026 10:30 | w/o Jul. 27, 2026 | 2.479M | -1.85M | -7.167M | above |
| 29 Jul 2026 10:30 | w/o Jul. 20, 2026 | -7.167M | -1.755M | 2.01M | below |
| 22 Jul 2026 10:30 | w/o Jul. 13, 2026 | 2.01M | -1.25M | -1.692M | above |
| 15 Jul 2026 10:30 | w/o Jul. 6, 2026 | -1.692M | -3M | 2.998M | above |
| 8 Jul 2026 10:30 | w/o Jun. 29, 2026 | 2.998M | -2.4M | -3.775M | above |
| 1 Jul 2026 10:30 | w/o Jun. 22, 2026 | -3.775M | -5.1M | -6.088M | above |
| 24 Jun 2026 10:30 | w/o Jun. 15, 2026 | -6.088M | -4.89M | -8.263M | below |
| 17 Jun 2026 10:30 | w/o Jun. 8, 2026 | -8.263M | -4.5M | -7.227M | below |
| 10 Jun 2026 10:30 | w/o Jun. 1, 2026 | -7.227M | -3.521M | -7.974M | below |
| 3 Jun 2026 10:30 | w/o May. 25, 2026 | -7.974M | -4M | -3.327M | below |
| 28 May 2026 12:00 | w/o May. 18, 2026 | -3.327M | -4.1M | -7.863M | above |
| 20 May 2026 10:30 | w/o May. 11, 2026 | -7.863M | -2.7M | -4.306M | below |
| 13 May 2026 10:30 | w/o May. 4, 2026 | -4.306M | -2.104M | -2.313M | below |
| 6 May 2026 10:30 | w/o Apr. 27, 2026 | -2.313M | -3.419M | -6.234M | above |
| 29 Apr 2026 10:30 | w/o Apr. 20, 2026 | -6.234M | -0.8M | 1.925M | below |
| 22 Apr 2026 10:30 | w/o Apr. 13, 2026 | 1.925M | -1.95M | -0.913M | above |
| 15 Apr 2026 10:30 | w/o Apr. 6, 2026 | -0.913M | -0.5M | 3.081M | below |
| 8 Apr 2026 10:30 | w/o Mar. 30, 2026 | 3.081M | 0.25M | 5.451M | above |
| 1 Apr 2026 10:30 | w/o Mar. 23, 2026 | 5.451M | 2M | 6.926M | above |
| 25 Mar 2026 10:30 | w/o Mar. 16, 2026 | 6.926M | -0.6M | 6.156M | above |
| 18 Mar 2026 10:30 | w/o Mar. 9, 2026 | 6.156M | -0.58M | 3.824M | above |
| 11 Mar 2026 10:30 | w/o Mar. 2, 2026 | 3.824M | 1.38M | 3.475M | above |
| 4 Mar 2026 10:30 | w/o Feb. 23, 2026 | 3.475M | 3M | 15.989M | above |
| 25 Feb 2026 10:30 | w/o Feb. 16, 2026 | 15.989M | 1.849M | -9.014M | above |
| 19 Feb 2026 12:00 | w/o Feb. 9, 2026 | -9.014M | 2.348M | 8.53M | below |
| 11 Feb 2026 10:30 | w/o Feb. 2, 2026 | 8.53M | 0.952M | -3.455M | above |
| 4 Feb 2026 10:30 | w/o Jan. 26, 2026 | -3.455M | 0.851M | -2.295M | below |
| 28 Jan 2026 10:30 | w/o Jan. 19, 2026 | -2.295M | 1.75M | 3.602M | below |
| 22 Jan 2026 12:00 | w/o Jan. 12, 2026 | 3.602M | 1.5M | 3.391M | above |
| 14 Jan 2026 10:30 | w/o Jan. 5, 2026 | 3.391M | -1.682M | -3.832M | above |
| 7 Jan 2026 10:30 | w/o Dec. 29, 2025 | -3.832M | 1.1M | -1.934M | below |
| 31 Dec 2025 10:30 | w/o Dec. 22, 2025 | -1.934M | -2M | 0.405M | above |
| 29 Dec 2025 10:30 | w/o Dec. 15, 2025 | 0.405M | -2.6M | -1.274M | above |
| 17 Dec 2025 10:30 | w/o Dec. 8, 2025 | -1.274M | -2M | -1.812M | above |
| 10 Dec 2025 10:30 | w/o Dec. 1, 2025 | -1.812M | -1.75M | 0.574M | below |
| 3 Dec 2025 10:30 | w/o Nov. 24, 2025 | 0.574M | -1.7M | 2.774M | above |
| 26 Nov 2025 10:30 | w/o Nov. 17, 2025 | 2.774M | 0.7M | -3.426M | above |
| 19 Nov 2025 10:30 | w/o Nov. 10, 2025 | -3.426M | -1.7M | 6.413M | below |
| 13 Nov 2025 12:00 | w/o Nov. 3, 2025 | 6.413M | 2M | 5.202M | above |
| 5 Nov 2025 10:30 | w/o Oct. 27, 2025 | 5.202M | 1.8M | -6.858M | above |
| 29 Oct 2025 10:30 | w/o Oct. 20, 2025 | -6.858M | – | -0.961M | – |
| 22 Oct 2025 10:30 | w/o Oct. 13, 2025 | -0.961M | 1.8M | 3.524M | below |
| 16 Oct 2025 12:00 | w/o Oct. 6, 2025 | 3.524M | 0.25M | 3.715M | above |
| 8 Oct 2025 10:30 | w/o Sep. 29, 2025 | 3.715M | 2.25M | 1.792M | above |
| 1 Oct 2025 10:30 | w/o Sep. 22, 2025 | 1.792M | 1.54M | -0.607M | above |
| 24 Sept 2025 10:30 | w/o Sep. 15, 2025 | -0.607M | 0.8M | -9.285M | below |
| 17 Sept 2025 10:30 | w/o Sep. 8, 2025 | -9.285M | -1.5M | 3.939M | below |
| 10 Sept 2025 10:30 | w/o Sep. 1, 2025 | 3.939M | -1.069M | 2.415M | above |
| 4 Sept 2025 12:00 | w/o Aug. 25, 2025 | 2.415M | -1.813M | -2.392M | above |
| 27 Aug 2025 10:30 | w/o Aug. 18, 2025 | -2.392M | -2M | -6.014M | below |
| 20 Aug 2025 10:30 | w/o Aug. 11, 2025 | -6.014M | -1.33M | 3.036M | below |
| 13 Aug 2025 10:30 | w/o Aug. 4, 2025 | 3.036M | -0.824M | -3.029M | above |
| 6 Aug 2025 10:30 | w/o Jul. 28, 2025 | -3.029M | -1.136M | 7.698M | below |
| 30 Jul 2025 10:30 | w/o Jul. 21, 2025 | 7.698M | -2M | -3.169M | above |
| 23 Jul 2025 10:30 | w/o Jul. 14, 2025 | -3.169M | -1.63M | -3.859M | below |
| 16 Jul 2025 10:30 | w/o Jul. 7, 2025 | -3.859M | -0.9M | 7.07M | below |
| 9 Jul 2025 10:30 | w/o Jun. 30, 2025 | 7.07M | -2M | 3.845M | above |
| 2 Jul 2025 10:30 | w/o Jun. 23, 2025 | 3.845M | -2.8M | -5.836M | above |
| 25 Jun 2025 10:30 | w/o Jun. 16, 2025 | -5.836M | -0.75M | -11.473M | below |
| 18 Jun 2025 10:30 | w/o Jun. 9, 2025 | -11.473M | -1.9M | -3.644M | below |
| 11 Jun 2025 10:30 | w/o Jun. 2, 2025 | -3.644M | -2.2M | -4.304M | below |
| 4 Jun 2025 10:30 | w/o May. 26, 2025 | -4.304M | -1.3M | -2.795M | below |
| 29 May 2025 12:00 | w/o May. 19, 2025 | -2.795M | 0.6M | 1.328M | below |
| 21 May 2025 10:30 | w/o May. 12, 2025 | 1.328M | -1.295M | 3.454M | above |
| 14 May 2025 10:30 | w/o May. 5, 2025 | 3.454M | -1M | -2.032M | above |
| 7 May 2025 10:30 | w/o Apr. 28, 2025 | -2.032M | -1.65M | -2.696M | below |
| 30 Apr 2025 10:30 | w/o Apr. 21, 2025 | -2.696M | 0.3M | 0.244M | below |
| 23 Apr 2025 10:30 | w/o Apr. 14, 2025 | 0.244M | -0.7M | 0.515M | above |
| 16 Apr 2025 10:30 | w/o Apr. 7, 2025 | 0.515M | 0.39M | 2.553M | above |
| 9 Apr 2025 10:30 | w/o Mar. 31, 2025 | 2.553M | 2.2M | 6.165M | above |
| 2 Apr 2025 10:30 | w/o Mar. 24, 2025 | 6.165M | -2M | -3.341M | above |
| 26 Mar 2025 10:30 | w/o Mar. 17, 2025 | -3.341M | -1.55M | 1.745M | below |
| 19 Mar 2025 09:30 | w/o Mar. 10, 2025 | 1.745M | 1.1M | 1.448M | above |
| 12 Mar 2025 09:30 | w/o Mar. 3, 2025 | 1.448M | 2M | 3.614M | below |
| 5 Mar 2025 10:30 | w/o Feb. 24, 2025 | 3.614M | 0.9M | -2.332M | above |
| 26 Feb 2025 10:00 | w/o Feb. 17, 2025 | -2.332M | 2.535M | 4.633M | below |
| 20 Feb 2025 12:00 | w/o Feb. 10, 2025 | 4.633M | 3M | 4.07M | above |
| 12 Feb 2025 10:30 | w/o Feb. 3, 2025 | 4.07M | 3M | 8.664M | above |
| 5 Feb 2025 10:30 | w/o Jan. 27, 2025 | 8.664M | 2.6M | 3.463M | above |
| 29 Jan 2025 10:30 | w/o Jan. 20, 2025 | 3.463M | 3.15M | -1.017M | above |
| 23 Jan 2025 12:00 | w/o Jan. 13, 2025 | -1.017M | -2.1M | -1.962M | above |
| 15 Jan 2025 10:30 | w/o Jan. 6, 2025 | -1.962M | -1.645M | -0.959M | below |
| 8 Jan 2025 10:30 | w/o Dec. 30, 2024 | -0.959M | -0.6M | -1.178M | below |
| 2 Jan 2025 11:00 | w/o Dec. 23, 2024 | -1.178M | -2.75M | -4.237M | above |
| 27 Dec 2024 13:00 | w/o Dec. 16, 2024 | -4.237M | -2M | -0.934M | below |
| 18 Dec 2024 10:30 | w/o Dec. 9, 2024 | -0.934M | -1.7M | -1.425M | above |
| 11 Dec 2024 10:30 | w/o Dec. 2, 2024 | -1.425M | -1.1M | -5.073M | below |
| 4 Dec 2024 10:30 | w/o Nov. 25, 2024 | -5.073M | -1M | -1.844M | below |
| 27 Nov 2024 10:30 | w/o Nov. 18, 2024 | -1.844M | -1.05M | 0.545M | below |
| 20 Nov 2024 10:30 | w/o Nov. 11, 2024 | 0.545M | 0.4M | 2.089M | above |
| 14 Nov 2024 11:00 | w/o Nov. 4, 2024 | 2.089M | 1.847M | 2.149M | above |
| 6 Nov 2024 10:30 | w/o Oct. 28, 2024 | 2.149M | 1.8M | -0.515M | above |
| 30 Oct 2024 10:30 | w/o Oct. 21, 2024 | -0.515M | 2.3M | 5.474M | below |
| 23 Oct 2024 10:30 | w/o Oct. 14, 2024 | 5.474M | 0.4M | -2.191M | above |
| 17 Oct 2024 11:00 | w/o Oct. 7, 2024 | -2.191M | 2.25M | 5.81M | below |
| 9 Oct 2024 10:30 | w/o Sep. 30, 2024 | 5.81M | 2M | 3.889M | above |
| 2 Oct 2024 10:30 | w/o Sep. 23, 2024 | 3.889M | -1.25M | -4.471M | above |
| 25 Sept 2024 10:30 | w/o Sep. 16, 2024 | -4.471M | -1.45M | -1.63M | below |
| 18 Sept 2024 10:30 | w/o Sep. 9, 2024 | -1.63M | -0.1M | 0.833M | below |
| 11 Sept 2024 10:30 | w/o Sep. 2, 2024 | 0.833M | 1.1M | -6.873M | below |
| 5 Sept 2024 11:00 | w/o Aug. 26, 2024 | -6.873M | -1.1M | -0.846M | below |
| 28 Aug 2024 10:30 | w/o Aug. 19, 2024 | -0.846M | -3M | -4.649M | above |
| 21 Aug 2024 10:30 | w/o Aug. 12, 2024 | -4.649M | -2.723M | 1.357M | below |
| 14 Aug 2024 10:30 | w/o Aug. 5, 2024 | 1.357M | -2M | -3.728M | above |
| 7 Aug 2024 10:30 | w/o Jul. 29, 2024 | -3.728M | -0.4M | -3.436M | below |
| 31 Jul 2024 10:30 | w/o Jul. 22, 2024 | -3.436M | -1.55M | -3.741M | below |
| 24 Jul 2024 10:30 | w/o Jul. 15, 2024 | -3.741M | -2.05M | -4.87M | below |
The next US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change is due Thursday, 12 November 2026 at 12:00 New York time (w/o Nov. 2, 2026).
The last US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change (w/o Oct. 26, 2026, released 4 Nov 2026) came in at -0.865M, below the 1.75M forecast; the previous reading was -1.892M.
US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change is released weekly by U.S. Energy Information Administration. CRTLAB has 566 releases on record since 6 Jan 2016.
Since 2016, US EIA Crude Oil Stocks Change has come in above forecast 50% of the time and below 50% (564 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 42%. It has now come in below forecast 5 releases in a row.
The highest was 21.563M (w/o Feb. 22, 2021) and the lowest -17.049M (w/o Jul. 24, 2023). The five-year average is -0.09M.
Usually the opposite: a lower reading than forecast is the good surprise for the USD, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the USD against its forecast, red one that was bad.
Stocks of crude oil refer to the weekly change of the crude oil supply situation.