Next release Monday, 30 November 2026, 09:45 New York. Every release since 29 Jan 2016: 128 on record, actual against forecast. Medium impact for the USD. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last US Chicago PMI (Sep. 2026, released 30 Sept 2026) came in at 58.8, above the 51.2 forecast; the previous reading was 47.1. The next US Chicago PMI is due Monday, 30 November 2026 at 09:45 New York time (Nov. 2026).
Since 2016, US Chicago PMI has come in above forecast 48% of the time and below 51% (128 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 67%.
The average miss against forecast over the last 24 releases was 4.37: higher than expected is good for the USD.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sept 2026 09:45 | Sep. 2026 | 58.8 | 51.2 | 47.1 | above |
| 28 Aug 2026 09:45 | Aug. 2026 | 47.1 | 58 | 57.6 | below |
| 31 Jul 2026 09:45 | Jul. 2026 | 57.6 | 56 | 56.7 | above |
| 30 Jun 2026 09:45 | Jun. 2026 | 56.7 | 56 | 62.7 | above |
| 29 May 2026 09:45 | May. 2026 | 62.7 | 50.5 | 49.2 | above |
| 30 Apr 2026 09:45 | Apr. 2026 | 49.2 | 53 | 52.8 | below |
| 31 Mar 2026 09:45 | Mar. 2026 | 52.8 | 55 | 57.7 | below |
| 27 Feb 2026 09:45 | Feb. 2026 | 57.7 | 52.8 | 54 | above |
| 30 Jan 2026 09:45 | Jan. 2026 | 54 | 44 | 42.7 | above |
| 30 Dec 2025 09:45 | Dec. 2025 | 42.7 | 39.8 | 37.3 | above |
| 26 Nov 2025 09:45 | Nov. 2025 | 37.3 | 44.3 | 43.7 | below |
| 31 Oct 2025 09:45 | Oct. 2025 | 43.7 | 42.3 | 41 | above |
| 30 Sept 2025 09:45 | Sep. 2025 | 41 | 43 | 41.6 | below |
| 29 Aug 2025 09:45 | Aug. 2025 | 41.6 | 46 | 47.1 | below |
| 31 Jul 2025 09:45 | Jul. 2025 | 47.1 | 42 | 41 | above |
| 30 Jun 2025 09:45 | Jun. 2025 | 41 | 43 | 42.2 | below |
| 30 May 2025 09:45 | May. 2025 | 42.2 | 45 | 43.6 | below |
| 30 Apr 2025 09:45 | Apr. 2025 | 43.6 | 45.5 | 46.2 | below |
| 31 Mar 2025 09:45 | Mar. 2025 | 46.2 | 44.5 | 44.4 | above |
| 28 Feb 2025 09:45 | Feb. 2025 | 44.4 | 40.6 | 39.7 | above |
| 31 Jan 2025 09:45 | Jan. 2025 | 39.7 | 40 | 36.3 | below |
| 30 Dec 2024 09:45 | Dec. 2024 | 36.3 | 42.8 | 40.8 | below |
| 29 Nov 2024 09:45 | Nov. 2024 | 40.8 | 44 | 41.1 | below |
| 31 Oct 2024 09:45 | Oct. 2024 | 41.1 | 47 | 45.6 | below |
| 30 Sept 2024 09:45 | Sep. 2024 | 45.6 | 46.1 | 44.1 | below |
| 30 Aug 2024 09:45 | Aug. 2024 | 44.1 | 45.5 | 44.5 | below |
| 31 Jul 2024 09:45 | Jul. 2024 | 44.5 | 45 | 48.1 | below |
| 28 Jun 2024 09:45 | Jun. 2024 | 48.1 | 40 | 37.4 | above |
| 31 May 2024 09:45 | May. 2024 | 37.4 | 41 | 39.1 | below |
| 30 Apr 2024 09:45 | Apr. 2024 | 39.1 | 45 | 41.2 | below |
| 28 Mar 2024 09:45 | Mar. 2024 | 41.2 | 46 | 43.8 | below |
| 29 Feb 2024 09:45 | Feb. 2024 | 43.8 | 48 | 46.2 | below |
| 31 Jan 2024 09:45 | Jan. 2024 | 46.2 | 48 | 46.4 | below |
| 29 Dec 2023 09:45 | Dec. 2023 | 46.4 | 51 | 56.3 | below |
| 30 Nov 2023 09:45 | Nov. 2023 | 56.3 | 45.4 | 44.6 | above |
| 31 Oct 2023 09:45 | Oct. 2023 | 44.6 | 45 | 44.1 | below |
| 29 Sept 2023 09:45 | Sep. 2023 | 44.1 | 47.6 | 46.8 | below |
| 31 Aug 2023 09:45 | Aug. 2023 | 46.8 | 44.1 | 43 | above |
| 31 Jul 2023 09:45 | Jul. 2023 | 43 | 43.3 | 42.3 | below |
| 30 Jun 2023 09:45 | Jun. 2023 | 42.3 | 44 | 42.5 | below |
| 31 May 2023 09:45 | May. 2023 | 42.5 | 47 | 48.2 | below |
| 28 Apr 2023 09:45 | Apr. 2023 | 48.2 | 43.5 | 43.1 | above |
| 31 Mar 2023 09:45 | Mar. 2023 | 43.1 | 43.4 | 43.2 | below |
| 28 Feb 2023 09:45 | Feb. 2023 | 43.2 | 45 | 43.8 | below |
| 31 Jan 2023 09:45 | Jan. 2023 | 43.8 | 45 | 44.5 | below |
| 30 Dec 2022 09:45 | Dec. 2022 | 44.5 | 40 | 38.1 | above |
| 30 Nov 2022 09:45 | Nov. 2022 | 38.1 | 47 | 46.5 | below |
| 31 Oct 2022 09:45 | Oct. 2022 | 46.5 | 47 | 46.9 | below |
| 30 Sept 2022 09:45 | Sep. 2022 | 46.9 | 51.8 | 50.2 | below |
| 31 Aug 2022 09:45 | Aug. 2022 | 50.2 | 52 | 51.9 | below |
| 29 Jul 2022 09:45 | Jul. 2022 | 51.9 | 55 | 55.8 | below |
| 30 Jun 2022 09:45 | Jun. 2022 | 55.8 | 58 | 60.4 | below |
| 31 May 2022 09:45 | May. 2022 | 60.4 | 55 | 55.3 | above |
| 29 Apr 2022 09:45 | Apr. 2022 | 55.3 | 62 | 61.2 | below |
| 31 Mar 2022 09:45 | Mar. 2022 | 61.2 | 57 | 58.4 | above |
| 28 Feb 2022 09:45 | Feb. 2022 | 58.4 | 63 | 64.6 | below |
| 31 Jan 2022 09:45 | Jan. 2022 | 64.6 | 61.7 | 63.8 | above |
| 30 Dec 2021 09:45 | Dec. 2021 | 63.8 | 62 | 64.5 | above |
| 30 Nov 2021 09:45 | Nov. 2021 | 64.5 | 67 | 69.2 | below |
| 29 Oct 2021 09:45 | Oct. 2021 | 69.2 | 63.5 | 67 | above |
| 30 Sept 2021 09:45 | Sep. 2021 | 67 | 65 | 65.2 | above |
| 31 Aug 2021 09:45 | Aug. 2021 | 65.2 | 68 | 71.8 | below |
| 30 Jul 2021 09:45 | Jul. 2021 | 71.8 | 64.6 | 67 | above |
| 30 Jun 2021 09:45 | Jun. 2021 | 67 | 70 | 72.4 | below |
| 28 May 2021 09:45 | May. 2021 | 72.4 | 68 | 69.7 | above |
| 30 Apr 2021 09:45 | Apr. 2021 | 69.7 | 65.3 | 64.4 | above |
| 31 Mar 2021 09:45 | Mar. 2021 | 64.4 | 60.7 | 61.7 | above |
| 26 Feb 2021 09:45 | Feb. 2021 | 61.7 | 61.1 | 63.9 | above |
| 29 Jan 2021 09:45 | Jan. 2021 | 63.9 | 58.5 | 59.2 | above |
| 30 Dec 2020 09:45 | Dec. 2020 | 59.2 | 57 | 59.4 | above |
| 30 Nov 2020 09:45 | Nov. 2020 | 59.4 | 59 | 60.7 | above |
| 30 Oct 2020 09:45 | Oct. 2020 | 60.7 | 58 | 63.5 | above |
| 30 Sept 2020 09:45 | Sep. 2020 | 63.5 | 52 | 50.4 | above |
| 28 Aug 2020 09:45 | Aug. 2020 | 50.4 | 52 | 52 | below |
| 31 Jul 2020 09:45 | Jul. 2020 | 52 | 43.9 | 37.5 | above |
| 30 Jun 2020 09:45 | Jun. 2020 | 37.5 | 45 | 31.5 | below |
| 29 May 2020 09:45 | May. 2020 | 31.5 | 40 | 34.4 | below |
| 30 Apr 2020 09:45 | Apr. 2020 | 34.4 | 38 | 46.9 | below |
| 31 Mar 2020 09:45 | Mar. 2020 | 46.9 | 40 | 49.9 | above |
| 28 Feb 2020 09:45 | Feb. 2020 | 49.9 | 45.9 | 43.6 | above |
| 31 Jan 2020 09:45 | Jan. 2020 | 43.6 | 48.8 | 48 | below |
| 30 Dec 2019 09:45 | Dec. 2019 | 48 | 48 | 47.1 | in line |
| 27 Nov 2019 09:45 | Nov. 2019 | 47.1 | 47 | 44 | above |
| 31 Oct 2019 09:45 | Oct. 2019 | 44 | 48 | 47.8 | below |
| 30 Sept 2019 09:45 | Sep. 2019 | 47.8 | 50.2 | 49.5 | below |
| 30 Aug 2019 09:45 | Aug. 2019 | 49.5 | 47.5 | 46.3 | above |
| 31 Jul 2019 09:45 | Jul. 2019 | 46.3 | 50.6 | 50.7 | below |
| 28 Jun 2019 09:45 | Jun. 2019 | 50.7 | 53.1 | 51.8 | below |
| 30 Apr 2019 09:45 | Apr. 2019 | 52.7 | 59 | 56.9 | below |
| 29 Mar 2019 09:45 | Mar. 2019 | 56.9 | 61 | 62.2 | below |
| 28 Feb 2019 09:45 | Feb. 2019 | 62.2 | 57 | 59 | above |
| 31 Jan 2019 09:45 | Jan. 2019 | 59 | 61.5 | 62.9 | below |
| 28 Dec 2018 09:45 | Dec. 2018 | 62.9 | 62 | 64 | above |
| 30 Nov 2018 09:45 | Nov. 2018 | 64 | 58 | 60.2 | above |
| 31 Oct 2018 09:45 | Oct. 2018 | 60.2 | 60 | 62.1 | above |
| 28 Sept 2018 09:45 | Sep. 2018 | 62.1 | 62.5 | 63.1 | below |
| 31 Aug 2018 09:45 | Aug. 2018 | 63.1 | 63 | 66.3 | above |
| 31 Jul 2018 09:45 | Jul. 2018 | 66.3 | 62.3 | 64.5 | above |
| 29 Jun 2018 09:45 | Jun. 2018 | 64.5 | 60 | 61.7 | above |
| 31 May 2018 09:45 | May. 2018 | 61.7 | 58 | 58.8 | above |
| 30 Apr 2018 09:45 | Apr. 2018 | 58.8 | 58 | 58.4 | above |
| 29 Mar 2018 09:45 | Mar. 2018 | 58.4 | 62 | 60.4 | below |
| 28 Feb 2018 09:45 | Feb. 2018 | 60.4 | 64.2 | 66.3 | below |
| 31 Jan 2018 09:45 | Jan. 2018 | 66.3 | 64.1 | 65.7 | above |
| 28 Dec 2017 09:45 | Dec. 2017 | 65.7 | 62 | 62.9 | above |
| 30 Nov 2017 09:45 | Nov. 2017 | 62.9 | 63 | 67.2 | below |
| 31 Oct 2017 09:45 | Oct. 2017 | 67.2 | 61 | 65.8 | above |
| 29 Sept 2017 09:45 | Sep. 2017 | 65.8 | 58.5 | 59.3 | above |
| 31 Aug 2017 09:45 | Aug. 2017 | 59.3 | 58.5 | 59.7 | above |
| 31 Jul 2017 09:45 | Jul. 2017 | 59.7 | 60 | 63.5 | below |
| 30 Jun 2017 09:45 | Jun. 2017 | 63.5 | 58 | 59.1 | above |
| 31 May 2017 09:45 | May. 2017 | 59.1 | 57 | 59.9 | above |
| 28 Apr 2017 09:45 | Apr. 2017 | 59.9 | 56.4 | 58 | above |
| 31 Mar 2017 09:45 | Mar. 2017 | 58 | 56.9 | 56.6 | above |
| 28 Feb 2017 09:45 | Feb. 2017 | 56.6 | 53 | 51.3 | above |
| 31 Jan 2017 09:45 | Jan. 2017 | 51.3 | 55 | 52.8 | below |
| 30 Dec 2016 09:45 | Dec. 2016 | 52.8 | 57 | 56.6 | below |
| 30 Nov 2016 09:45 | Nov. 2016 | 56.6 | 52 | 51.8 | above |
| 31 Oct 2016 09:45 | Oct. 2016 | 51.8 | 54 | 54.4 | below |
| 30 Sept 2016 09:45 | Sep. 2016 | 54.4 | 52 | 52 | above |
The next US Chicago PMI is due Monday, 30 November 2026 at 09:45 New York time (Nov. 2026).
The last US Chicago PMI (Sep. 2026, released 30 Sept 2026) came in at 58.8, above the 51.2 forecast; the previous reading was 47.1.
US Chicago PMI is released monthly by Institute for Supply Management. CRTLAB has 128 releases on record since 29 Jan 2016.
Since 2016, US Chicago PMI has come in above forecast 48% of the time and below 51% (128 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 67%.
The highest was 72.4 (May. 2021) and the lowest 31.5 (May. 2020). The five-year average is 47.83.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the USD, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the USD against its forecast, red one that was bad.
The Chicago PMI (ISM-Chicago Business Barometer) measures the performance of the manufacturing and non-manufacturing sector in the Chicago region. The Index is computed from five weighted raw indexes: Production (0.25), New Orders (0.35), Order Backlog (0.15), Employment (0.10), and Supplier Deliveries (0.15) and then seasonally adjusted to support month-to-month comparisons.