Every release since 27 Jan 2016: 44 on record, actual against forecast. Medium impact for the AUD. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last Australia Quarterly RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ (Q3 2026, released 28 Oct 2026) came in at 1%, in line with the 1% forecast; the previous reading was 0.8%.
Since 2016, Australia Quarterly RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ has come in above forecast 36% of the time and below 34% (44 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 33%.
The average miss against forecast over the last 24 releases was 0.14%: higher than expected is good for the AUD.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct 2026 20:30 | Q3 2026 | 1% | 1% | 0.8% | in line |
| 29 Jul 2026 21:30 | Q2 2026 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | below |
| 29 Apr 2026 21:30 | Q1 2026 | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | below |
| 28 Jan 2026 19:30 | Q4 2025 | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1% | above |
| 29 Oct 2025 20:30 | Q3 2025 | 1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | above |
| 30 Jul 2025 21:30 | Q2 2025 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | in line |
| 30 Apr 2025 21:30 | Q1 2025 | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | above |
| 29 Jan 2025 19:30 | Q4 2024 | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | below |
| 30 Oct 2024 20:30 | Q3 2024 | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | in line |
| 31 Jul 2024 21:30 | Q2 2024 | 0.9% | 1% | 1% | below |
| 24 Apr 2024 21:30 | Q1 2024 | 1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | above |
| 31 Jan 2024 19:30 | Q4 2023 | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | in line |
| 25 Oct 2023 20:30 | Q3 2023 | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | above |
| 26 Jul 2023 21:30 | Q2 2023 | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | below |
| 26 Apr 2023 21:30 | Q1 2023 | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | below |
| 25 Jan 2023 19:30 | Q4 2022 | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | above |
| 26 Oct 2022 20:30 | Q3 2022 | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | above |
| 27 Jul 2022 21:30 | Q2 2022 | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.5% | above |
| 27 Apr 2022 21:30 | Q1 2022 | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1% | above |
| 25 Jan 2022 19:30 | Q4 2021 | 1% | 0.7% | 0.8% | above |
| 27 Oct 2021 20:30 | Q3 2021 | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | above |
| 28 Jul 2021 21:30 | Q2 2021 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | in line |
| 28 Apr 2021 21:30 | Q1 2021 | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | below |
| 27 Jan 2021 19:30 | Q4 2020 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | above |
| 28 Oct 2020 20:30 | Q3 2020 | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0% | in line |
| 29 Jul 2020 21:30 | Q2 2020 | 0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | below |
| 29 Apr 2020 21:30 | Q1 2020 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | above |
| 29 Jan 2020 19:30 | Q4 2019 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | in line |
| 30 Oct 2019 20:30 | Q3 2019 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | in line |
| 31 Jul 2019 21:30 | Q2 2019 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | in line |
| 24 Apr 2019 21:30 | Q1 2019 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | below |
| 30 Jan 2019 19:30 | Q4 2018 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | above |
| 31 Oct 2018 20:30 | Q3 2018 | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | in line |
| 25 Jul 2018 21:30 | Q2 2018 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | below |
| 24 Apr 2018 21:30 | Q1 2018 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | in line |
| 31 Jan 2018 19:30 | Q4 2017 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | below |
| 25 Oct 2017 20:30 | Q3 2017 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | below |
| 26 Jul 2017 21:30 | Q2 2017 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | in line |
| 26 Apr 2017 21:30 | Q1 2017 | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | in line |
| 25 Jan 2017 19:30 | Q4 2016 | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | below |
| 26 Oct 2016 20:30 | Q3 2016 | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | below |
| 27 Jul 2016 21:30 | Q2 2016 | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | above |
| 27 Apr 2016 21:30 | Q1 2016 | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | below |
| 27 Jan 2016 19:30 | Q4 2015 | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | above |
The last Australia Quarterly RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ (Q3 2026, released 28 Oct 2026) came in at 1%, in line with the 1% forecast; the previous reading was 0.8%.
Australia Quarterly RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ is released quarterly by Bureau of Statistics. CRTLAB has 44 releases on record since 27 Jan 2016.
Since 2016, Australia Quarterly RBA Trimmed Mean CPI QoQ has come in above forecast 36% of the time and below 34% (44 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 33%.
The highest was 1.8% (Q3 2022) and the lowest 0% (Q2 2020). The five-year average is 1.04%.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the AUD, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the AUD against its forecast, red one that was bad.
In Australia, the trimmed mean CPI is the weighted average of the central 70% of price changes in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) basket, after excluding the 15% of items with the largest increases and decreases. By removing extreme price movements, this measure provides a clearer view of underlying inflation trends in the Australian economy.