Every release since 29 Sept 2022: 39 on record, actual against forecast. Medium impact for the AUD. Updated within the hour of each release.
The last Australia Monthly CPI Indicator (Sep. 2025, released 29 Oct 2025) came in at 3.5%, above the 3.1% forecast; the previous reading was 3%.
Since 2022, Australia Monthly CPI Indicator has come in above forecast 39% of the time and below 44% (36 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 50%. It has now come in above forecast 3 releases in a row.
The average miss against forecast over the last 24 releases was 0.17%: higher than expected is good for the AUD.
| Released | Period | Actual | Forecast | Previous | Vs forecast |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct 2025 20:30 | Sep. 2025 | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3% | above |
| 24 Sept 2025 21:30 | Aug. 2025 | 3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | above |
| 27 Aug 2025 21:30 | Jul. 2025 | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | above |
| 30 Jul 2025 21:30 | Jun. 2025 | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | below |
| 25 Jun 2025 21:30 | May. 2025 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | below |
| 28 May 2025 21:30 | Apr. 2025 | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.4% | above |
| 30 Apr 2025 21:30 | Mar. 2025 | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | above |
| 26 Mar 2025 20:30 | Feb. 2025 | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | below |
| 26 Feb 2025 19:30 | Jan. 2025 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | in line |
| 29 Jan 2025 19:30 | Dec. 2024 | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | in line |
| 8 Jan 2025 19:30 | Nov. 2024 | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.1% | above |
| 27 Nov 2024 19:30 | Oct. 2024 | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | below |
| 30 Oct 2024 20:30 | Sep. 2024 | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | below |
| 25 Sept 2024 21:30 | Aug. 2024 | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.5% | in line |
| 28 Aug 2024 21:30 | Jul. 2024 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | above |
| 31 Jul 2024 21:30 | Jun. 2024 | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4% | in line |
| 26 Jun 2024 21:30 | May. 2024 | 4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | above |
| 29 May 2024 21:30 | Apr. 2024 | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.5% | above |
| 24 Apr 2024 21:30 | Mar. 2024 | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.4% | above |
| 27 Mar 2024 20:30 | Feb. 2024 | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | below |
| 28 Feb 2024 19:30 | Jan. 2024 | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.4% | below |
| 31 Jan 2024 19:30 | Dec. 2023 | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | below |
| 10 Jan 2024 19:30 | Nov. 2023 | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | below |
| 29 Nov 2023 19:30 | Oct. 2023 | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | below |
| 25 Oct 2023 20:30 | Sep. 2023 | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | above |
| 27 Sept 2023 21:30 | Aug. 2023 | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | in line |
| 30 Aug 2023 21:30 | Jul. 2023 | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | below |
| 26 Jul 2023 21:30 | Jun. 2023 | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | in line |
| 28 Jun 2023 21:30 | May. 2023 | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | below |
| 31 May 2023 21:30 | Apr. 2023 | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | above |
| 26 Apr 2023 21:30 | Mar. 2023 | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | below |
| 29 Mar 2023 20:30 | Feb. 2023 | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | below |
| 1 Mar 2023 19:30 | Jan. 2023 | 7.5% | 8% | 8.4% | below |
| 25 Jan 2023 19:30 | Dec. 2022 | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | above |
| 11 Jan 2023 19:30 | Nov. 2022 | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7% | above |
| 30 Nov 2022 19:30 | Oct. 2022 | 7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | below |
| 26 Oct 2022 20:30 | Sep. 2022 | 7.2% | – | 7.2% | – |
| 29 Sept 2022 21:30 | Aug. 2022 | 7.2% | – | 7.2% | – |
| 29 Sept 2022 20:30 | Jul. 2022 | 7.2% | – | 6.8% | – |
The last Australia Monthly CPI Indicator (Sep. 2025, released 29 Oct 2025) came in at 3.5%, above the 3.1% forecast; the previous reading was 3%.
Australia Monthly CPI Indicator is released monthly by Bureau of Statistics. CRTLAB has 39 releases on record since 29 Sept 2022.
Since 2022, Australia Monthly CPI Indicator has come in above forecast 39% of the time and below 44% (36 releases with a forecast); over the last 12 it beat 50%. It has now come in above forecast 3 releases in a row.
The highest was 8.4% (Dec. 2022) and the lowest 1.9% (Jun. 2025). The five-year average is 4.38%.
Usually yes: a reading above forecast is the good surprise for the AUD, and the bigger the surprise the bigger the move. On this page, green marks a release that was good for the AUD against its forecast, red one that was bad.